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Back美國能源部長萊特預測汽油價格可能回落
美國能源部長萊特預測汽油價格可能回落
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自由时报1 hour agoBusiness2 min readChinaView translation

美國能源部長萊特預測汽油價格可能回落

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美國能源部長克里斯·萊特在多個電視節目中謹慎預測,隨著勞動節後需求下降及夏季環保規定放寬,汽油價格可能回落,但未給出具體承諾或時間表。目前美國普通汽油平均零售價達每加侖4.15美元,創勞動節週末最高紀錄,柴油價格亦升至歷史新高。他指出市場期貨預期未來數月價格將明顯下降,但期貨波動性高,無法準確預測實際零售價格。近期油價上漲主要受原油價格推動,基準原油價格已突破每桶96美元,且週末新衝突可能進一步推升油價,對美國中期選舉前的能源價格構成上行壓力。

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Why It Matters

美國能源部長克里斯·萊特在多個電視節目中談及汽油價格走勢,指出勞動節後需求通常下降及夏季環保規定放寬可能增加供應,但未具體承諾降價。目前美國普通汽油平均零售價達每加侖4.15美元,創勞動節週末最高紀錄,柴油價格亦升至歷史新高。

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美國能源部長萊特(Chris Wright)。(路透)

〔財經頻道/綜合報導〕美國能源部長萊特(Chris Wright)週日(6日)謹慎預測,美國汽油價格可能即將回落,但他並未做出明確的降價承諾,也未提出具體的降價幅度或時間表。

《AXIOS》報導,萊特週日接受美國多個電視政治節目訪問時指出,美國汽油需求通常會在勞動節(Labor Day)過後下降,原因是傳統夏季駕車旺季告一段落。他同時表示,政府近期放寬部分夏季汽油環保規定,也可能有助於增加汽油供應。

萊特在CNN的《State of the Union》節目中說,「汽油產量即將增加,而需求即將下降。所以,如果一定要我猜,我認為價格更可能下跌,而不是上漲」。

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目前美國汽油價格仍處於高檔。根據AAA數據顯示,美國普通汽油平均零售價格週日達到每加侖4.15美元(1美制加侖大約等於 3.785公升,約等於每公升新台幣34.6元),創下有紀錄以來勞動節週末最高水準。與此同時,柴油價格也升至歷史新高,並對整體經濟產生連鎖影響。

萊特指出,汽油期貨市場目前預期未來數月價格將明顯下降。他在ABC《This Week》節目中表示,市場認為汽油價格將大幅走低,因此與其相信他的個人預測,不如相信市場本身。

然而,未來數月的期貨價格具有高度波動性,並不能準確預測未來加油站的實際零售價格。

近期汽油價格上漲,主要受到原油價格走高帶動。隨著敵對行動再度升溫,原油價格進一步上漲。截至上週五收盤,全球基準原油價格已突破每桶96美元(約新台幣3041元),創下約6週來最高水準,儘管近期似乎有更多石油運輸通過荷莫茲海峽。

市場接下來將關注本週市場開盤後的油價走勢。由於週末又爆發新的衝突,原油價格可能進一步上漲,進而對美國汽油價格帶來新的上行壓力。

在距離美國期中選舉不到兩個月之際,汽油與柴油價格走勢也受到高度關注。能源價格不僅直接影響民眾日常開支,也可能透過運輸等成本對整體經濟產生影響。

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AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 美國汽油價格將在未來數月下降

    Possible · Within months

Open Questions

  • 具體何時才能看到汽油價格明顯下降?
  • 夏季環保規定放寬將帶來多少額外供應?
  • 若中東衝突持續升級,對油價的影響將有多大?

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This article was originally published by 自由时报.

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