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BackHsinchu County Chief’s polls are in turmoil! "Taiwan Public Policy Research Association" said Xu Xinying leads with 44.4%
Hsinchu County Chief’s polls are in turmoil! "Taiwan Public Policy Research Association" said Xu Xinying leads with 44.4%
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自由时报18 minutes agoPolitics2 min readChinaView original

Hsinchu County Chief’s polls are in turmoil! "Taiwan Public Policy Research Association" said Xu Xinying leads with 44.4%

Quick Look

  • There is a big battle in the polls for the Hsinchu County Magistrate election.
  • The Times Poll Center shows that DPP candidate Zheng Chaofang has 36.9% support, leading the Kuomintang’s Xu Xinying by about 8.3 percentage points; Taiwan Public Policy Research Institute shows that Xu Xinying has 44.4% support, leading Zheng Chaofang by 37.5%.
  • Both candidates responded that the polls were for reference only and called on voters to support clean, honest county government.

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

There was a big battle in the Hsinchu County Magistrate election polls, with the Times Poll Center and the Taiwan Public Policy Research Society announcing different results. The Times Poll Center showed that DPP candidate Zheng Chaofang received 36.9% support, leading the Kuomintang's Xu Xinying by about 8.3 percentage points; the Taiwan Institute of Public Policy Research showed that Xu Xinying had 44.4% support, leading Zheng Chaofang by 37.5%. The poll was funded by Li Chengzhi Law Firm and conducted by Key Survey Co., Ltd. The survey period was from November 5 to 8. It conducted a survey on people registered in Hsinchu County and over the age of 20. A residential telephone survey was conducted using the stratified proportional random sampling method. A total of 1,071 valid samples were completed. At the 95% confidence level, the sampling error was within plus or minus 2.99 percentage points.

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Xu Xinying responded that the poll was for reference only, but she firmly believed that the people of Hsinchu County never wanted "the restoration of the family of money-power politics."

Hsinchu county magistrate election polls are in chaos! The Times Poll Center released the latest poll today (12th). DPP candidate Zheng Chaofang received 36.9% support, leading the Kuomintang's Xu Xinying by about 8.3 percentage points. The "Taiwan Public Policy Research Association" also released a poll, saying that Xu Xinying leads Zheng Chaofang by 6.9 percentage points. Xu Xinying responded that the poll is for reference only, but she firmly believes that the people of Hsinchu County never want "the restoration of the family of financial power politics." What the villagers look forward to is a truly capable, clean and sunny county government team.

The "Taiwan Society for Public Policy Research" Hsinchu County Mayor election poll reported that Xu Xinying's support was 44.4%, Zheng Chaofang's 37.5%, independent Zhu Dingyu's 3.2%, and 14.9% could not be elected.

The "Taiwan Public Policy Research Association" explained that cross-analysis of the poll showed that the Zhudong and Zhubei constituencies became the key to victory or defeat. Among them, in the Zhudong constituency, Xu Xinying received 43.6% of the support, leading Zheng Chaofang's 32.6%; in the Zhubei constituency, Xu Xinying led 45.1% to Zheng Chaofang's 38.5%, and in Zhubei West District, Zheng Chaofang led 54.5% to Xu Xinying's 32.5%.

In addition, the poll showed that 43.3% of the public believed that the former secretary of the Zhubei City Office accused Zheng Chaofang's father and brother of "interfering in municipal administration and bullying subordinates", while 35.8% did not believe it. In terms of integrity, 42.8% of the public distrusted Zheng Chaofang, and 31.1% believed it. As for the outside world's concern about Xu Xinying's relationship with the religious community, 42.2% of the public do not believe that resources will be controlled by specific religious groups, while 35.5% believe it.

Regarding the poll data, Zheng Chaofang's campaign office said that today some media also announced a poll in which Zheng Chaofang was leading, and voters were asked to refer to it.

Xu Xinying responded that no matter what the results of the polls were, she would continue to visit the grassroots and hold the hands of every voter to win everyone's support for Lian Neng and Sunny Hsinchu. She also shouted to the villagers that the team will pass on various happiness benefits and substantial construction to every grassroots level, and strive to protect the future of Hsinchu County.

This latest poll was funded by Li Chengzhi Law Firm and conducted by Key Survey Co., Ltd. The survey period was from November 5 to 8. It conducted a survey on people registered in Hsinchu County and over the age of 20. A residential telephone survey was conducted using a stratified proportional random sampling method. A total of 1,071 valid samples were completed. At the 95% confidence level, the sampling error was within plus or minus 2.99 percentage points.

For related news, please see:

Latest poll of Hsinchu County Mayor! Zheng Chaofang expanded his lead by 36.9% and is proud that his political achievements can withstand the test

Regarding Xu Xinying's lead in the polls, Zheng Chaofang's campaign office said that today some media also announced Zheng Chaofang's lead in the polls, so voters are asked to refer to it. (Photo by reporter Liao Xueru)

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • The Hsinchu County Magistrate election will continue to attract the attention of many polls, and more poll results may appear in the future.

    Likely · Within days

Open Questions

  • What are the specific reasons for the difference in the results of the two polls?
  • Will any other polling agencies publish polls on the Hsinchu County Governor election in the future?
  • Specific voter composition and changes in voting intention in Zhudong and Zhubei constituencies

Related Topics

This article was originally published by 自由时报.

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