Back中國央視首度公開西部沙漠飛彈發射井工程 坦言面臨趕工壓力
中國央視首度公開西部沙漠飛彈發射井工程 坦言面臨趕工壓力
NEWS
自由时报9 hours agoDefense3 min readChinaView translation

中國央視首度公開西部沙漠飛彈發射井工程 坦言面臨趕工壓力

中國中央電視台建軍99週年紀錄片首度公開火箭軍工程人員談及西部沙漠飛彈發射井建造,引發外界對中國核武庫與二次反擊能力的關注。

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中國央視在建軍99週年紀錄片中,首度公開火箭軍工程人員談及西部沙漠飛彈發射井的建造工作,透露曾面臨趕工壓力。這批自2021年經衛星影像曝光、涵蓋甘肅玉門及新疆哈密等地的設施,再次引發外界對中國戰略核武能力的關注。

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Why It Matters

2021年衛星影像顯示中國新疆哈密、甘肅玉門及內蒙古吉蘭泰等地出現大規模疑似飛彈發射井工程。

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中國中央電視台近日播出的建軍99週年紀錄片,首度公開火箭軍工程人員談及西部沙漠飛彈發射井的建造工作。受訪的一級軍士長崔道虎表示,自己多年參與「為飛彈建房子」工程,施工期間曾面臨按期完工的壓力。

2021年衛星影像顯示,中國新疆哈密、甘肅玉門出現大規模疑似飛彈發射井工程,內蒙古吉蘭泰則有飛彈訓練設施。當年引發外界關注的工程,如今中國央視首度公開談及火箭軍人員參與建造工作。

軍聞網站《Defence Blog》報導,這是中國與軍方相關媒體自2021年外界透過衛星影像發現大規模發射井工程後,首次公開談及這項工程。當年的衛星影像顯示,甘肅玉門、新疆哈密及內蒙古吉蘭泰等地出現約320座正在興建的發射井,此後一直受到外界關注。

紀錄片中的崔道虎曾於2025年出現在中國軍事媒體報導,當時主要介紹他的工程技術與工作經驗,未提及相關發射井或戰略核武。這次央視則直接將他的工程工作與戰略飛彈任務連結,也使外界重新關注這批設施的施工進度。

工程趕工壓力 「戰略王牌」現身

崔道虎表示,自己曾在不同場合被詢問工程能否按期完成,為此改進施工方式,包括調整部分核心結構的安裝程序,以縮短施工時間。他也提到,相關工程是為了確保國家能夠保有「戰略王牌」。

《Defence Blog》引述《原子科學家公報》分析師羅斯特指出,紀錄片內容將發射井快速興建與中國對美國飛彈防禦能力的疑慮連結起來,包括川普政府提出的「金穹」計畫。羅斯特認為,這可能反映中國希望確保在遭受核打擊後仍保有二次反擊能力。

羅斯特進一步指出,央視此次把崔道虎與戰略飛彈工程直接連結,可能意味這批發射井已接近完成。不過,這屬於外部分析,並非中國官方公布的工程進度或完工狀態。

中國過去未公開說明這批發射井的具體數量及用途。美國與其他研究機構持續估算中國核武庫規模,部分評估認為,中國可能在2030年前擁有1000枚以上核彈頭;但各項估算仍存在差異,而且發射井數量不能直接換算成核彈頭數量。

這次央視公開工程人員談及「為飛彈建房子」,使中國西部大規模發射井工程再次浮上檯面。至於整體設施數量、目前部署狀態及工程完成程度,中國官方仍未作完整說明。

Open Questions

  • 這批發射井的確切數量與完工狀態為何?
  • 中國官方是否會進一步公布核武部署細節?

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