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Back|基隆市長選戰:謝國樑與童子瑋民調差距縮小
基隆市長選戰:謝國樑與童子瑋民調差距縮小
Politics
自由时报·41 minutes ago·Politics·2 min read·🇨🇳China

基隆市長選戰:謝國樑與童子瑋民調差距縮小

下屆基隆市長選戰進入白熱化,國民黨謝國樑與民進黨童子瑋競爭激烈

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基隆市長選戰由國民黨謝國樑與民進黨童子瑋對決。謝國樑憑藉現任優勢與藍營資源固票,但受市政爭議影響;童子瑋主打林右昌接班人形象,在年輕族群支持度上升,雙方民調差距逐漸縮小,中間選民成為決勝關鍵。

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Why It Matters

基隆市政治結構長期呈現藍大於綠。現任市長謝國樑面臨罷免案後,目前正爭取連任。

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民進黨基隆市長參選人童子瑋(左)持續衝衝衝,逐漸拉近與市長謝國樑的差距。

下屆基隆市長共有3人角逐,以國民黨現任市長謝國樑和民進黨議長童子瑋對決為主要戰場,童子瑋勤跑基層、提政見,主打前市長林右昌接班人,好感度增加;謝國樑歷經幼兒園虐童、豪大雨淹水等市政爭議,2人差距越拉越近,誰能贏得中間選民及年輕族群青睞,將成為決勝關鍵。

基隆政治結構藍大於綠,爭取連任的謝國樑在基本盤占有優勢,主要政績包括七區室內兒童樂園、友善行人及推動八斗子漁港等促參案,並舉辦煙火和演唱會活動,罷樑案後以穩定市政為主。

童子瑋是總統賴清德的表姪,近幾個月來努力勤跑宮廟、社區,看好度持續上升,尤其是29歲到39歲的年輕族群,支持度穩定領先。童子瑋參選以來推出老人福利、育兒與交通政見,其中長者3節敬老禮金加倍政見獲得好評,對謝國樑造成壓力,促使謝提出「長樂65」專案,把敬老禮金從3000元提高到6500元。

謝國樑在「藍白合」效應與現任行政優勢下,採取穩紮穩打策略,對童子瑋的批評冷處理應對,但受到幼兒園虐童案、淹水等影響,雙方民調支持度差距逐漸縮小,謝國樑對爭議事件都親上火線或由秘書長召開記者會說明,及時止損。

謝國樑採取基北北桃聯合陣線策略,邀請台中市長盧秀燕、台北市長蔣萬安等藍營明星站台固票;童子瑋也祭出「鎮殿之寶」,由前總統蔡英文擔任競選總部主委,同時形塑「林右昌接班人」招牌,盼延續政績、點亮西岸,找回基隆人的光榮感,爭取中間選民支持,力求出線。

國民黨籍基隆市長謝國樑(中)力拚連任。

Open Questions

  • ?中間選民最終傾向哪位候選人?
  • ?市政爭議對謝國樑選情的具體影響程度為何?

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This article was originally published by 自由时报.

Quick Look

基隆市長選戰由國民黨謝國樑與民進黨童子瑋對決。謝國樑憑藉現任優勢與藍營資源固票,但受市政爭議影響;童子瑋主打林右昌接班人形象,在年輕族群支持度上升,雙方民調差距逐漸縮小,中間選民成為決勝關鍵。

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自由时报
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Published
41 minutes ago
基隆市長
謝國樑
童子瑋
基隆市長
童子瑋
謝國樑
林右昌
賴清德
民進黨
國民黨
基隆
八斗子漁港
謝國樑
童子瑋
選舉
民進黨
國民黨

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