The northeast monsoon will come again next week! Qiangpi will become China and Taiwan from tonight to tomorrow morning, "it will affect Taiwan next Friday"
The Central Meteorological Administration predicts that the mild typhoon "Qiangpi" will intensify into a moderate typhoon as soon as tonight or tomorrow. It is expected that its peripheral circulation will affect Taiwan's weather starting next Friday. The angle and timing of its northward turn still need to be observed.
Quick Look
- The Central Meteorological Administration's forecast points out that the mild typhoon "Qiangpi" will intensify into a moderate typhoon as soon as tonight or tomorrow.
- It is expected that its outer circulation will affect Taiwan's weather starting next Friday (23rd).
- There will be showers in the north and northeast, and the angle and timing of its northward turn are still variable.
AI-generated summary
Why It Matters
Typhoon Qianbi is currently located in the northwest Pacific and is expected to move towards the southern waters of Ryukyu and may become stronger.
The outer circulation of Typhoon Qiangbi is expected to affect Taiwan next Friday (23rd)! The Central Meteorological Administration predicts that the weather will be good everywhere from tomorrow to next Tuesday, but a small wave of northeast monsoon will strengthen next Wednesday; the mild typhoon "Qiangpi" will become a moderate typhoon as soon as tonight to tomorrow. It is initially predicted that its outer circulation will affect Taiwan's weather next Friday.
Meteorological Administration forecaster Zeng Zhaocheng said that there is currently water vapor approaching in the east of Taiwan. From tonight to early tomorrow morning, there will be local heavy rain on the north coast of Keelung, the eastern half and the Hengchun Peninsula. However, cloudy to sunny weather will return to fine weather from tomorrow onwards. Pay attention to sporadic brief showers in the southern mountainous areas in the afternoon, which will last until next Tuesday (20th).
Zeng Zhaocheng said that next Wednesday and Thursday (21st and 22nd) will be affected by the strengthening of the northeast monsoon. There will be local short-lived showers north and northeast of Hsinchu, sporadic short-lived showers in the east, southeast and Hengchun Peninsula, and sporadic short-lived showers in the southern mountainous areas in the afternoon. He said that this wave of northeast monsoon is not strong. The daytime temperature in the north and Yilan is about 26 degrees to 28 degrees, and the low temperature is about 23 degrees to 25 degrees. The temperature in other places does not change much.
"The intensity of Typhoon Qiangbi is already at the upper limit of a light typhoon. It will strengthen into a moderate typhoon from tonight to tomorrow at the earliest, and will become a severe typhoon within three days." Zeng Zhaocheng said that Qiangbi will steadily move towards the southern waters of Ryukyu before next Wednesday, and when it reaches the eastern sea of Taiwan from next Thursday to next Saturday, it will start to turn north due to the weakening of the Pacific high pressure.
Zeng Zhaocheng pointed out that there are still variables to the degree of Qiang Pi's northward turn, which will not become clearer until next week. The angle and timing of the northward turn have a great relationship with the extent to which it will affect Taiwan. However, what is currently certain is that next Friday (23rd) will be affected by the typhoon's peripheral circulation. At that time, there will be showers in the north and northeast, local short-lived showers in the east and southeast, and local short-lived showers in the mountainous areas in the afternoon.
The Meteorological Administration also released its "Monthly Long-term Weather Outlook" for the next two weeks today. The model predicts that it will be mostly cloudy to sunny in various places before mid-term in the first week of the next week (October 17th to October 23rd), with scattered brief showers in mountainous areas in the afternoon.
During the period from the end of the first cycle to the second week (October 24th to October 30th) under the influence of the northeast monsoon, the temperature in the northern and eastern half dropped, and there were local brief rains. In addition, at the end of the first week and at the beginning of the second cycle, there were opportunities for the influence of typhoon peripheral circulation, and the probability of rainfall increased in various places.
The Meteorological Administration also pointed out that there are still signals of tropical disturbance development in the northwest Pacific in the near future, but the forecast uncertainty is high. Please pay attention to the latest forecast information released by the Meteorological Administration at any time.
What to Watch
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Typhoon Qiangbi will intensify into a moderate typhoon as early as tonight or tomorrow
Likely · Within days
Taiwan will be affected by the typhoon's peripheral circulation next Friday (23rd)
Likely · Within weeks
Open Questions
- What is the angle and timing of Typhoon Qiangpit's northward turn?
- Will the typhoon directly land in Taiwan?






