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Back中和房市展現韌性:預售屋價量齊揚,市場呈現新舊分化
中和房市展現韌性:預售屋價量齊揚,市場呈現新舊分化
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自由时报10 hours agoBusiness4 min readChinaView translation

中和房市展現韌性:預售屋價量齊揚,市場呈現新舊分化

指標案「漢皇方圓」刷新新北預售房價紀錄,預售屋與成屋每坪價差達26萬元,買氣集中於新案。

Quick Look

儘管受信用管制與限貸影響,新北市中和區預售屋市場仍顯韌性。指標案「漢皇方圓」創下每坪126.48萬元新高,第二季預售交易量季增6成。市場出現「新案價高熱銷、成屋價低買氣弱」的分化現象,預售與成屋每坪價差達26萬元。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

房市受信用管制與銀行限貸政策影響,買盤趨於觀望。中和地區因生活機能成熟,預售屋市場仍保有一定熱度。

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房市買氣持續受信用管制、銀行限貸影響,反觀中和房市仍展現韌性,近期不僅指標案「漢皇方圓」刷新新北預售房價紀錄,第二季預售交易量更增加6成,值得注意的是,儘管預售較成屋價差每坪高出26萬元,市場仍呈現「新案價高仍賣得動、成屋價低買氣較弱」的分化趨勢。

即使房市買盤轉趨觀望,中和預售市場仍保有一定熱度。據近期實價登錄揭露,區域指標案「漢皇方圓」頂樓戶以每坪126.48萬元成交,再次突破新北預售房價天花板。同時在中和第二季價量表現中,預售市場也呈現「價量齊揚」現象,平均成交單價由第一季的78.2萬元升至81.4萬元、季增4.0%;交易量則從134件增至217件、季增6成;雖然第二季預售價量均較去年同期微幅下滑,但單季交易量明顯回升,顯示在市場降溫之際,中和新案仍具有一定承接力道。

「漢皇方圓」鄰近四號公園、捷運永安市場站等成熟生活圈,加上在地知名建商及中小坪數產品規劃,具備自住與換屋族群關注的條件,因此能維持一定價格,高樓層戶創下區域新高價亦不意外。同時,中和近期推案動能仍屬強勁,今年陸續都有大型指標案進場,包括總銷約400億元的「左岸明珠」,以及總銷約80億元的「寶亞世界公館」,大型新案持續進場,也令中和預售市場維持熱度。

觀察內政部實價登錄,6月開案的「左岸明珠B區」及「寶亞世界公館」,分別成交約63筆、58筆,除了指標新案表現不俗;據實登資料,在售個案也維持一定交易熱度,如中和捷運聯開案「大同新紀元」上半年仍有126筆成交、「昇陽國旭」有61筆成交,顯示擁有地段、交通或品牌優勢的個案,仍能持續吸引買方目光。

若將觀察範圍拉回成屋市場,表現則明顯不及預售市場。根據實登,中和第二季成屋平均成交單價為55.1萬元,較第一季54.8萬元微幅增加0.5%,但較去年同期下滑1.4%;交易量則由第一季401件增加至439件,季增9.5%,但較去年同期504件減少12.9%、減幅約1成。須留意的是,中和第二季預售屋平均單價81.4萬元、成屋平均單價55.1萬元,兩者每坪價差約26萬元,預售價格約較成屋高出約47.7%、近5成,然而即便新舊房價差距明顯,新案仍舊相對賣得動、賣得多。

591房屋交易網新聞公關課主任畢務潔指出,在雙北房價仍處高檔下,中和具備成熟生活機能及捷運交通優勢,受到不少自住及換屋族青睞;雖然在房市修正階段,成屋相對具有價格吸引力,但新案憑藉產品新穎、坪數規劃與品牌建商等更相符買盤需求的條件優勢,目前市場資金與買氣更集中新案物件,因而形成「新案有價有量、舊案量能偏弱」的市場分化。

此外,中和仍有不少都更危老案正在規劃中,包括「馥華大洋都更案」、「敦陽國際開發員山路案」等。根據市調建案資料,今年中和若相關個案皆順利推出,整體推案量預估將突破800億元,較去年總銷約410億元成長約95%。不過在整體房市仍受到信用管制與資金環境影響下,未來新案熱度能否延續、價格能否持續獲得買方承接,隨著後續供給陸續進場,亦成為中和房市下一階段的觀察重點。

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 今年中和整體推案量預估將突破800億元。

    Possible · Within months

Open Questions

  • 未來大量新案進場後,市場承接力道是否能維持?
  • 信用管制政策對房市的長期影響為何?

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