中央气象台预计未来十天冷空气较为频繁,北方大部地区气温较常年同期偏低,新疆北部、甘肃西部、内蒙古等地偏低3℃左右。今明两天中东部大部地区有4~6℃降温,华北西部、东北地区等地部分地区降温幅度超过8℃,长江以北大部地区伴有4~6级偏北风,阵风7~9级。降水方面,过去一天江淮、江汉等地出现大雨或暴雨,今明两天降雨逐渐减弱,但西南地区东部、江南北部等地部分地区有中到大雨,贵州西南部、云南东部等地部分地区有暴雨;东北地区、内蒙古东部等地有明显雨雪,黑龙江东南部、吉林东部等地部分地区有大雪。预计21日至24日新疆大部将出现大风降温天气,北部地区有明显雨雪天气,部分高海拔山区有暴雪到大暴雪,局地特大暴雪。台风“蔷琵”20日早晨05时位于台湾省台北市东偏南方向约1860公里的西北太平洋洋面上,中心附近最大风力17级以上(62米/秒,超强台风级),预计将以每小时25~30公里的速度继续向西偏北方向移动,逐渐向台湾以东洋面靠近,强度变化不大。21日起台湾以东洋面、台湾海峡、巴士海峡的风力将逐渐加大,目前其移动路径仍具有较大不确定性,需密切关注其发展动态及后期对我国东部海域及沿海地区的风雨影响。
AI-generated summary
中央气象台发布未来十天天气预报,指出冷空活动频繁导致北方大部地区气温偏低,同时台风“蔷琵”在西北太平洋洋面上移动,可能对我国东部海域及沿海地区造成风雨影响。
中央气象台网站20日消息,预计未来十天,影响我国冷空气较为频繁,北方大部地区气温较常年同期偏低,新疆北部、甘肃西部、内蒙古等地偏低3℃左右。其中今明两天,受本轮冷空气影响,中东部大部地区有4~6℃降温,华北西部、东北地区等地部分地区降温幅度超过8℃,长江以北大部地区伴有4~6级偏北风,阵风7~9级。气象专家提醒,近期冷空气活跃,气温起伏较为剧烈,建议公众密切关注天气变化,做好防风保暖措施。
在降水方面,过去一天,我国主要降雨带位于江淮、江汉一带,湖北中部和东北部、河南南部、安徽中部和南部、江苏中部和南部、云南南部等地部分地区出现大雨或暴雨,安徽合肥、滁州等局地大暴雨。今明两天,随着冷空气向南推进,降雨将逐渐减弱,但未来24小时,西南地区东部、江南北部、江汉东部、江淮南部、广西西北部等地部分地区有中到大雨,贵州西南部、云南东部、广西西北部等地部分地区有暴雨;此外,东北地区、内蒙古东部等地有明显雨雪,黑龙江东南部、吉林东部等地部分地区有大雪。
预计21日至24日,新疆大部将出现大风降温天气,北部地区有明显雨雪天气,部分高海拔山区有暴雪到大暴雪,局地特大暴雪。
台风“蔷琵”20日早晨05时位于台湾省台北市东偏南方向约1860公里的西北太平洋洋面上,中心附近最大风力17级以上(62米/秒,超强台风级)。预计,“蔷琵”将以每小时25~30公里的速度继续向西偏北方向移动,逐渐向台湾以东洋面靠近,强度变化不大。21日起,台湾以东洋面、台湾海峡、巴士海峡的风力将逐渐加大。目前,“蔷琵”的移动路径仍具有较大不确定性,需密切关注其发展动态及后期对我国东部海域及沿海地区的风雨影响。
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
今明两天中东部大部地区将有4~6℃降温,华北西部、东北地区等地部分地区降温幅度超过8℃
Very likely · Within days
长江以北大部地区将伴有4~6级偏北风,阵风7~9级
Very likely · Within days
西南地区东部、江南北部、江汉东部、江淮南部、广西西北部等地部分地区将有中到大雨,贵州西南部、云南东部、广西西北部等地部分地区有暴雨
Likely · Within days
东北地区、内蒙古东部等地将有明显雨雪,黑龙江东南部、吉林东部等地部分地区有大雪
Likely · Within days

The strong typhoon Qiangbi continues to approach, and forecasts from various countries have revised its path to the north. Japan and South Korea have switched sides and no longer predict landing in Taiwan, while the Meteorological Administration predicts that it will reach the northeast. Although the probability of landfall in the center has decreased, the storm circle has a wide range of influence. The probability of typhoon storm attack in the Jiyihua area of the north is still 50% to 60%, and the highest is 61% in Yilan and Keelung.

Meteorological expert Jia Xingxing pointed out that the current probability of Typhoon Qiangbi landing in Taiwan is about 6.3%. It is expected that a land warning will be issued late Thursday night, with the most significant impact from Friday to Saturday, and the temperature in northern Taiwan and Yilan will plummet by nearly 10 degrees.

Lin Deen, a doctor of atmospheric sciences at National Taiwan University, pointed out that there are obvious differences in the future path of typhoon Qianbi among the numerical forecast models of various countries: some models predict that the typhoon will turn north near Ishigaki Island or Miyako Island, which will have less impact on Taiwan; other models continue to predict that Qianbi may land in Taiwan. He emphasized that around Thursday (22nd) will be an important observation time point to judge the subsequent path, and described the two paths as "edge ball" and "straight ball duel".
The Central Meteorological Observatory issued a warning that cold air will affect the central and eastern regions of my country from the 20th to the 21st, accompanied by cooling and strong winds; from the 21st to the 24th, there will be continuous rain, snow and strong winds in northern Xinjiang. The local accumulated precipitation is large, and safety management of transportation, tourism, agriculture and animal husbandry needs to be strengthened.

This year's No. 29 typhoon "Qiangpi" maintains the strength of a strong typhoon. It is currently located in the sea area 1,800 kilometers southeast and east of Eluanbi, moving northwest and west at a speed of 24 kilometers per hour. The Meteorological Administration predicts that its path will continue to move northward. The six counties and cities in northern and northern Taiwan, including Keelung, Taoyi, and Hua, have a storm probability of over 50% within 120 hours, with Keelung County and Yilan County being as high as 62%.

The Central Meteorological Administration pointed out that Typhoon No. 29 Qiangpi this year is currently a strong typhoon, and its forecast path continues to move northward. When it is closest to Taiwan from Friday to Saturday, it will gradually move northward and develop towards Japan. It will be cloudy to sunny across Taiwan, with scattered rainfall in some areas. The temperature and air quality conditions are as stated in the report.