In response to the threat to Taiwan after the "Fifth Plenary Session" of the 20th Central Committee of the Communist Party of China, scholars today (31st) warned of the CCP's possible future maritime law enforcement and military transformation, pointing out that "the People's Liberation Army is fighting for face, and the matching of coast guard, scientific research vessels and fishing boats is fighting for lizi." Large-scale military The exercise has come to an end, but the Chinese Communist Party is normalizing and compressing daily maritime jurisdiction through the coordination and linkage of three types of ships, in an attempt to "leave the islands but not the sea." In addition, China's economic decline may accelerate the construction of the People's Liberation Army's "AI and unmanned vehicles" intelligent combat system.
The Safe Taiwan Institute held a symposium this afternoon on "Possible Evolution of the CCP's Internal Situation and Its Impact on Taiwan after the Fifth Plenary Session of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China" under the guidance of the Mainland Affairs Council. It was chaired by Chairman Yang Taiyuan and invited Shen Youzhong, deputy chairman of the Mainland Affairs Council, to deliver a speech. He also invited professors from the Institute of Military Affairs of the Chinese Communist Party at the National Defense University. Professor Ma Zhenkun, researcher of the China Strategic Foresight Association Xu Shengtai, associate professor of the Department of Political Science at National Taiwan University Chen Shimin, deputy researcher Jie Zhong appointed by the National Defense Academy, associate researcher Zeng Weifeng of the Center for International Relations of the National Chengchi University, researcher Cai Wenxuan of the Institute of Political Science of the Academia Sinica, and Bai Bangting, a specialist member of the Maritime Commission, attended the talks.
Bai Bangting said, "The People's Liberation Army is fighting for face, and the matching of coast guard, scientific research ships and fishing boats is fighting for dignity." The large-scale military exercise has come to an end, but the Chinese Communist Party is using three types of ships to coordinate and link up to normalize daily maritime jurisdiction, in an attempt to "leave the islands but not the sea." In terms of actual maritime security, he pointed out that the public can easily see the starting point and end point of military exercises, but Beijing is trying to use the coast guard to declare jurisdiction, scientific research ships to conduct investigations, and fishing boats to cross-border assembly without launching a full-scale war, consuming our surveillance and fishing protection energy.
Bai Bangting analyzed that if we expel the out-of-bounds fishing boats in accordance with the law, and China intervenes on the grounds of protecting fishing, it will turn simple violations into a jurisdictional confrontation, trying to rewrite our legal jurisdiction as a "dispute to be discussed" and package China's interference as "normal management of internal waters." He also gave an example. After China announced in June this year that it would carry out "special maritime traffic law enforcement" in Taitung waters, on October 18, the Chinese Coast Guard, scientific research vessels and fishing vessels coordinated at multiple points around Hualien East, Pingtung South, Kaohsiung Southwest and Dongsha. On October 20, China Coast Guard 3102 turned off its AIS and entered the restricted waters of Dongsha. When our Taichung ship responded, it used radio to spread political statements denying the existence of our country.
Bai Bangting quoted Ma Zhenkun's risk warning of "leaving the island but not the sea" and pointed out that China is trying to control the surrounding fishing operations, patrols and supplies of offshore islands while the islands are still under our control. In this regard, in addition to the Yunlin warship driving away Dongsha cross-border ships in accordance with the law on October 1 and taking into account humanitarian rescue, we will also integrate the tracks and communications of various ships to prevent my country from requiring Chinese or third-party ships to report, change routes or undergo inspections as soon as possible, and implement the firm position of Maritime Commission Chairman Bi Ling that "maritime patrols and sovereignty remain."
In addition, regarding the trend of the Communist Party's military building, Ma Zhenkun reminded that the 2008 financial tsunami caused the cancellation of orders for China's coastal shipbuilders. The CCP pragmatically filled the shipbuilding industry with warship orders, which resulted in the launch of naval ships like "dumplings" after the 2010s and accelerated the construction of the ocean-going navy. Now that China's economy continues to decline, the authorities are promoting industries such as "AI and unmanned vehicles". On the contrary, history may repeat itself and accelerate the construction of the PLA's intelligent unmanned combat system, which deserves high vigilance.
