
美方視奧班為保守派夢幻候選人,並預期中俄將給予支持
消息人士指出,美國川普政府正推動前匈牙利總理奧班競選下一屆聯合國秘書長。美方認為奧班符合保守派價值,並預期中俄將支持其成為共同候選人。奧班本人對此持開放態度,但尚未正式宣布參選。
AI-generated summary
奧班以強硬民族主義立場著稱,經常與歐盟發生衝突,並在匈牙利國內推動打擊移民與非政府組織的政策。
來自3個國家的消息人士證實,美國川普政府正積極推動由前匈牙利總理奧班(Viktor Orban),出任下一屆聯合國秘書長。美國已鼓勵這位前總理投入選戰,甚至一開始就是美方主動提出這個構想,據信俄羅斯與中國將予以支持,奧班可望在安理會15個成員國中獲得8票,甚至10票。
華爾街日報25日報導,一名美國國務院官員坦承,這項提議乍聽之下很瘋狂,但據信中俄兩國將給予支持,讓奧班成為3大強權的「共同候選人」。儘管反對理由不勝枚舉,例如奧班恐將成為俄國總統普廷等獨裁者的辯護人,但美國官員主張,奧班是「讓美國再次偉大」(MAGA)保守派的夢幻候選人,主要與他強硬打擊大規模移民、自由派非政府組織(NGO),以及匈牙利左傾法院與媒體的舉動有關。
奧班經常與歐盟發生衝突,卻又同時從歐盟汲取補貼,他的親中立場也無損於他作為「西方文明捍衛者」的形象。川普曾在今年4月的匈牙利大選中表態力挺奧班,副總統范斯(JD Vance)更曾為他助選。知情人士透露,若奧班投入聯合國秘書長選戰,美方可望再次力挺,但正式宣布的時間點,估計將落在11月初美國期中選舉之後。
美國官員發現,儘管持強硬民族主義立場的奧班態度審慎,但對此選項持開放態度,並強調除非確信能贏,否則不打算參選。對此,奧班本人拒絕發表評論。
另一名消息人士指出,其他角逐秘書長的人選,多半偏向具備國際官僚機構或幕後外交經驗的「秘書」特質,奧班則是一名「將軍」(general)。國務院官員同意,奧班具備美方認可的意識形態,知道如何在充滿敵意的環境中行使權力,且不會被聯合國總部的「建制派」所嚇倒。
前阿拉伯聯合大公國駐聯合國大使紐塞柏(Lana Nusseibeh)已宣布參選,預定27日接受提問,安理會則將於28日舉行新一輪意向投票(straw poll),外界預期可能還有其他候選人加入戰局。
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
奧班將於11月初美國期中選舉後決定是否參選。
Possible · Within weeks

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