As the US Congress midterm elections approach, the picture in the polls becomes clearer

In the USA, elections are held on November 3 for the entire 435-seat House of Representatives and 35 seats in the 100-seat Senate.

Although the average of the polls conducted across the country regarding the elections seems to have an advantage for the Democrats in the House of Representatives and the Republicans in the Senate, the real outcome will be determined by the constituencies where the race is currently running neck and neck.

Republicans have the advantage in the Senate

According to the table on the Real Clear Politics (RCP) news platform, which compiles nationwide and state-level surveys during the election process, it is certain that 46 of the seats in the Senate will be won by Democrats and 46 by Republicans.

In 8 states, the candidates are neck and neck. Of the seats where the neck-and-neck race continues, 6 appear to be Republican-leaning and 2 Democratic-leaning.

If Republicans take the lead in 4 of these states, it may be possible for Republicans to gain a majority in the Senate, thanks to Vice President JD Vance's tie-breaking vote, even if the seat distribution is 50-50.

According to the law, the US Vice President, who also serves as the President of the Senate, can cast the tiebreaking vote in favor of his party.

There is hope for Democrats in the House of Representatives

In the House of Representatives, which is entirely up for election, the party that reaches 218 seats will also have the majority.

According to the current table in the RCP, it seems almost certain that Republicans will take 186 seats in the House of Representatives and Democrats will take 227 seats.

The gap has narrowed in the race between Democrats and Republicans for 22 seats in the House of Representatives.

Democrats, who have gained the majority in the current table, seem to have an advantage in the House of Representatives.

What is the current table like?

In the US, Republicans currently have 53 seats in the Senate and Democrats have 45 seats. Independents, who have 2 seats, act with Democrats on many issues.

In the House of Representatives, Republicans have 218 seats, Democrats have 214 seats, and independents have 1 seat, while 2 seats in the House are vacant.