AfD reaches record level of 30.5 percent, Union falls to 17.5 percent
Quick Look
- According to a new Insa survey, the AfD leads with 30.5 percent, ahead of the CDU/CSU with 17.5 percent.
- Satisfaction with the black-red federal government and Chancellor Friedrich Merz is at historic lows.
AI-generated summary
Why It Matters
The survey shows a growing gap between the AfD and the Union, while the AfD reaches a new record and the Union continues to fall. Satisfaction with the government and the Chancellor is at historic lows.
The AfD is distancing itself further and further from the Union. According to a new Insa survey, the gap between the two parties is now 13 percentage points. While the AfD rose to a new record of 30.5 percent (+ 1 percent), if there were a federal election on Sunday, the CDU/CSU would only reach 17.5 percent (- 1.5 percent).
For the other parties, the changes compared to the previous week are minimal. While the SPD and the Greens are still at 14.5 percent, the Left Party with 10.5 percent and the FDP with 4.5 percent each gain half a percentage point. The BSW would receive an unchanged 3.5 percent. Both the FDP and the BSW would therefore continue to miss out on entering the Bundestag.
Infratest Dimap also asked about satisfaction with the black-red federal government. 10 percent of those surveyed were very satisfied or satisfied with this (+/-0). In contrast, 89 percent were less or not at all satisfied with the SPD and the Union (+1 point).
With regard to the work of Federal Chancellor Friedrich Merz, 10 percent said they were very satisfied or satisfied (-3 points). The CDU chairman thus achieved the lowest satisfaction rating for a chancellor in the history of the ARD Germany trend. 88 percent were less or not at all satisfied with their work (+5 points).
What to Watch
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
The AfD is likely to become the strongest force in the next federal election if the current trend continues.
Likely · Within months
Open Questions
- How will this trend affect the next federal election?
- What measures is the Union planning to take to catch up?
- How are other parties reacting to the rise of the AfD?

