"Qiang Pi" will be generated closest to next Thursday! AI model reveals latest path

Typhoon "Qiangpi", numbered 29th this year by the Meteorological Administration, was generated at 2 pm. It is still more than 4,000 kilometers away from Taiwan and will not affect Taiwan in the short term. It is expected that the movement will be variable after next Wednesday (21st). Currently, Google WN3C AI system is in the latest forecast, and there is no consensus on the later path. The system will turn northward/westward roughly 50%, and it is expected to be closest to Taiwan from next Thursday (22nd) to next Saturday (24th).

According to observations from the Central Meteorological Administration, Typhoon "Qiangpi" was centered at 11.0 degrees north latitude and 158.6 degrees east longitude at 2 p.m., that is, 1,260 kilometers southwest of Wake Island (4,190 kilometers east of Eluanbi), moving westward at a speed of 25 kilometers per hour. The Meteorological Administration predicts that "Qiangpi" will continue to develop in the future and may reach severe typhoon level around next Monday (19th). The radius of the storm circle can reach 280 kilometers, making it a large and powerful typhoon.

The Facebook weather fan "Watch the Weather" pointed out that "Qiangpi" is expected to move northwest to northwest in the short term until next Wednesday, and will have no impact on Taiwan for the time being.

Models generally predict that a westerly trough will deepen from the northeastern part of mainland China and gradually move eastward between Tuesday and Wednesday next week. At this time, models generally predict that the subtropical high will disconnect, causing the northward component of Qiangpi to increase. The depth and eastward movement time of this trough will directly affect the flow field of the subtropical high, and in turn affect the direction of Qiangpi after next Wednesday. Currently, Google WN3C The latest forecast of the AI system is that the system will turn north/westward roughly 50/50, and there is no consensus on the later path.

Qiangpi is expected to be closest to Taiwan from next Thursday to next Saturday. The weather conditions in the days before the Liberation Day holiday next week will depend on Qiangpi's expression.