
AI-generated summary
The article discusses the possibility of competition and cooperation between China and the United States in the field of artificial intelligence, as well as the trade imbalance problem faced by the EU. It quoted comments from the Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung and the Augsburg Allgemeine Zeitung to analyze the fundamental differences between the challenges of AI governance and the control of nuclear weapons.
(Deutsche Welle Chinese website) Some people compare the Sino-US artificial intelligence dialogue to the nuclear weapons negotiations between the United States and Russia. "Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung" commented that this metaphor seems reasonable, but is actually absurd. Because only national leaders have historically been able to control nuclear weapons, while the risks of artificial intelligence come from high-tech companies large and small. This is precisely the challenge posed by artificial intelligence. This comment titled "Don't compare AI to nuclear bombs" reads:
“Not long ago, Dario Amodei, president of the artificial intelligence company Anthropic, made a statement about China that was far from brilliant. He first called on U.S. artificial intelligence companies to expand their lead over China to three to five years. Then he quickly wrote that in order to control the speed of global artificial intelligence development, ‘cooperation with China’ is indispensable. Amodai did not seem to have considered the repercussions of this statement in China. He also did not seem to understand how big a challenge China has posed to the United States' technological and geopolitical dominance. In fact, the United States does not have the means to restrict China's development of artificial intelligence. On the contrary, China can use its monopoly on rare earths to prevent the United States from taking any drastic actions.
If the Amodei, Altmans and Musks of today’s world really believe the warnings that artificial intelligence is about to threaten human existence, they must accept the reality of equal cooperation with China in the field of artificial intelligence. Otherwise, it is completely understandable that China does not take into account the concerns of the United States. The fierce competition between China and the United States in the geopolitical field will prompt China to promote the research and development of artificial intelligence without restrictions. It doesn’t matter that US President Trump is skeptical about the global joint management of artificial intelligence risks. After all, the president's position can change at a moment's notice, and public expressions of skepticism will help future negotiations. Just imagine, if Trump expressed support for joint management and control from the beginning, he would have no bargaining chips, and China would use agreeing to cooperate as bait to demand various concessions from the United States. "
A comment in the "Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung" pointed out that Trump's previous statements were probably just his "art of dealing." Without Trump’s approval, the artificial intelligence dialogue that China and the United States started this week will be impossible to discuss:
"Comparing AI cooperation with the US-Russian nuclear arms agreement seems reasonable, but is actually absurd. Because the biggest challenge in managing the risks of artificial intelligence is not the ability to cooperate at the geopolitical level. For Xi Jinping, the leader of the Chinese party and country, stability and control are above all else. His intelligence agency has just removed people Artificial intelligence is defined as a threat to the regime. If an agreement can be signed with the United States to reduce the threat of omnipotent AI to the Communist Party, then why would Xi Jinping do it? Of course, this cooperation must be based on equality, because in Xi Jinping's view, falling behind the United States in technology is also a threat to his regime.
In view of this, the bigger challenge is how to translate the agreements reached at the geopolitical level into the operating mechanisms of respective countries, so as to effectively control the progress of corporate research and development of artificial intelligence. In the United States, there is fierce competition among technology giants such as Anthropic, Open AI, Meta, and Alphabet. Each company hopes to launch stronger models as soon as possible, compete for customers, and make investors full of fantasy about the future. The management and control mechanism is to prevent companies from taking risks in order to win competition. The reason why capitalism in the United States is more dynamic than in Europe is that the United States controls corporate competition in the form of product accountability lawsuits. But for artificial intelligence, the ex post facto accountability model is obviously extremely unsuitable.
The challenges in China are different. Except for Qwen, a subsidiary of Alibaba, other artificial intelligence companies are relatively small. Deepseek, Moonshot AI, Minimax or Zhipu AI are some of the startups. Moonshot, for example, has only about three hundred employees. Such companies usually stand out by launching more powerful and updated models, but providing high-quality services is not their strong point. They have little to lose, so they are more adventurous. In theory, although Chinese companies are under the control of Beijing, in fact, Chinese-style capitalism is often more brutal and radical and less constrained than Europe.
DeepSeek founder Liang Wenfeng has stated many times that his goal is to develop general artificial intelligence, the so-called super intelligence. Alibaba CEO Wu Yongming is also a similar technological optimist. He hopes to relieve human beings from the troubles of thinking.
This is also the fundamental difference between artificial intelligence and nuclear bombs. Because, so far, it has always been the head of state who controls the risks of nuclear bombs. "
“European-China trade is becoming further imbalanced”
The "Augsburg Allgemeine" commented that it is time for the EU to take action on Europe's trade imbalance, otherwise it will be too late:
"As the former world export champion, Germany is no stranger to trade imbalances. Because of this, Germany is very worried that the EU's measures against unfair trade practices will trigger counterattacks from China. But now there is no time to wait and see.
The road Europeans are currently traveling is very rough and treacherous. After all, there are no winners in a trade war, and the Russia-Ukraine war and rising energy prices have already overwhelmed European countries. But if Beijing refuses to take the first steps toward leveling the playing field, Brussels will have to act unilaterally.
Sign free trade agreements with more countries as soon as possible and promote the integration of the unified market as soon as possible. In addition, when it comes to dealing with China's unfair competitive advantages, Europe should treat others in its own way. What Europe currently lacks is a spirit of unity. However, if action is not taken now, it will be too late and the situation will be out of control. "
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
If China and the United States fail to establish an equal cooperation mechanism in the field of AI, China will increase unlimited investment in artificial intelligence research and development.
Likely · Within months
The EU will take unilateral trade measures against China in the coming months to deal with the imbalance.
Possible · Within months

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