Arnaud Benedetti: “Marine Le Pen’s victory is not inevitable, but it has never been so close”

Arnaud Benedetti is an associate professor at the Sorbonne and director of La Nouvelle Revue politique. He is the author of At the Gates of Power. RN, the inevitable victory? (Michel Lafon, 2024).

Mediapart's investigation into posts and other exchanges attributed to Jordan Bardella changes nothing. The polls follow one another and are similar. Attempts to re-demonize the RN come up against a deep and lasting socio-political reality. It is important to understand why, at this stage, the dynamic in favor of Marine Le Pen is not weakening, and even seems to be intensifying. Many people consider that the upcoming presidential election will constitute one of the most decisive elections since May 10, 1981, which saw the victory of the left and the accession of François Mitterrand to the Élysée.