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Back颱風「薔琵」生成!氣象粉專:下週四到週六最靠近台灣
颱風「薔琵」生成!氣象粉專:下週四到週六最靠近台灣
Developing
自由时报4 hours agoEnvironment2 min readChinaView translation

颱風「薔琵」生成!氣象粉專:下週四到週六最靠近台灣

氣象粉專指出薔琵可能成長為強颱,下週四到週六最靠近台灣,北轉位置為關鍵。

Quick Look

今年第29號颱風「薔琵」於今日下午生成,氣象粉專「台灣颱風論壇─天氣特急」指出其本週不影響台灣,但因環境有利發展可能成為強颱,預計下週四至週六最靠近台灣,北轉位置為影響關鍵。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

今年第29號颱風「薔琵」於15日下午生成,氣象署與氣象粉專正持續觀察其後續路徑與強度發展。

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今年第29號颱風「薔琵」已於今(15日)下午生成,對此,氣象粉專「台灣颱風論壇─天氣特急」指出,薔琵本週不會影響台灣天氣,但北轉的位置是影響台灣的關鍵,此外由於沿途海洋與大氣環境有利颱風發展,薔琵可能會成長為強颱,預測下週四(22日)到週六(24日)會最靠近台灣。

粉專「台灣颱風論壇─天氣特急」在臉書發文表示,薔琵本週暫時不會影響台灣天氣,預計下週三會接近菲律賓東方海域,但後續北轉點各模式預測分歧,關鍵在於高壓減弱的程度,以及高壓邊緣的位置變化,哪裡北轉將是影響台灣的關鍵,預估下週四到週六會最靠近台灣。

粉專指出,由於沿途海洋與大氣環境有利颱風發展,海洋提供的能量有可能讓薔琵不斷增強,預計薔琵將成長為一個又大又強的強烈颱風,須持續觀察後續的路徑變化。

氣象署分析,今天下午2點薔琵颱風中心位置在北緯11.0度,東經158.6度,以每小時24公里速度,向西進行。中心氣壓998百帕,近中心最大風速每秒18公尺,瞬間最大陣風每秒25公尺,七級風平均暴風半徑80公里。

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 薔琵颱風將於下週四到週六最靠近台灣

    Likely · Within weeks

Open Questions

  • 薔琵颱風未來的確切北轉位置為何?
  • 薔琵是否會升級為強烈颱風並直接侵台?

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This article was originally published by 自由时报.

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