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Back一行两局一会,集体发声释信号
一行两局一会,集体发声释信号
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中国新闻网2 hours agoBusiness9 min readChinaView translation

一行两局一会,集体发声释信号

一行两局一会负责人集体亮相发声,释放货币政策换锚、资本市场引长钱、防范风险全覆盖、对外开放再扩围等信号。

Quick Look

10月19日至22日,2026金融街论坛年在北京西城举办。中国金融监管部门负责人集体亮相,释放货币政策“换锚”、资本市场引长钱、防范风险全覆盖及对外开放再扩围四重新信号。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

2026金融街论坛年会于10月19日至22日举办,汇集国家金融监管部门及全球顶级金融机构负责人。

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北京西城,一个面积不到3平方公里的街区,被称为“中国金融的心脏”。

这里装着全中国三分之一的金融资产,汇集了国家金融监管部门以及全球顶级金融机构。

10月19日至22日,2026金融街论坛年会在这条影响世界的街上举办,一行两局一会负责人集体亮相发声,释放金融发展最新声音。

市场从中读出四重信号:货币政策要换锚,资本市场要引长钱,对外开放要再扩围,对内系统整体要稳。

每一个,都影响着市场,关系着民众钱袋子。

第一重信号:政策利率“换锚”。

论坛上,央行行长潘功胜表示,推动货币政策框架转型和完善。有机构认为,相关举措对利率定价的影响或相当于“变相降息”。

具体什么意思?

过去,7天逆回购利率是政策利率的“锚”,但银行间市场约九成回购交易是隔夜的,两者之间有“时差”。

潘功胜宣布,央行将研究择机把公开市场主要操作品种的期限切换为隔夜,公开市场隔夜回购利率将相应成为主要政策利率。

华泰证券分析,政策利率换锚之后,利率中枢实质性下移。中金公司研报称,这可能与低位资金利率的延续相结合,稳定市场融资成本预期,对资金市场和债券市场形成一定的降息效果。

另一边,贷款利率定价基准也要变化:央行将从比较单一地参考贷款市场报价利率(LPR)定价向更加多元的定价基准转型。

这意味着,货币政策传导将更直接,资金利率的变化能更快传递到贷款和债券市场。不过,中金公司等也提到,此轮政策重点着眼于长期的金融稳定和发展,并非直接释放总量宽松信号。

第二重信号:资本市场稳发展。

对于投资者关注的股市,证监会主席吴清的发言有两个关键点。

其一,引长钱,稳信心。

10月以来,市场震荡回调。兴业证券首席经济学家刘郁认为,这背后核心是一致观望下的流动性压力。

证监会此次讲话从三方面关注缓解流动性压力:强调稳字当头,加强政策工具储备、巩固完善稳市机制;强调中国资产的长期投资价值;表明监管对外部冲击及其放大效应保持关注。

具体工具也配套出台。证监会10月19日同意首批18只主动ETF注册。吴清表示,这是推动基金产品创新发展的重要举措,也将为市场引入更多增量资金。

其二,促发展,助创新。

吴清提到,要聚焦支持新质生产力发展,落实落细“两创板”改革举措,进一步完善科技企业识别筛选等机制。

刘郁认为,证监会此举有利于让更多具有技术竞争力的公司拓宽资金来源,并将融资优势转化为研发和产业化能力。

第三重信号:金融安全不放松。

金融监管总局局长丁向群在防控金融风险方面提到一个词:“全覆盖”。

“依法将所有金融活动全部纳入监管,着力实现全覆盖、无例外。”这一表述,体现了金融系统消除监管空白、不留死角的决心。

此外,央行、金融监管总局、证监会三部门还将设立应对非银机构大额赎回的流动性支持工具。华泰证券分析师史进峰认为,这一工具旨在切断极端情形下债市“抛售—净值下跌—进一步赎回”负向循环,将对债市稳定、非银机构风险防控有实质支撑,同时间接利好股市情绪。

第四重信号:对外开放再扩围。

金融街论坛举办15年来,之所以备受关注,不仅因其是中国金融政策“发布厅”,更因它是中国与世界对话的“会客厅”。

来自全球40多个国家和地区的400余位嘉宾参会,中国再次释放金融业对外开放的信号。

潘功胜提到,拟试点允许8家中资和外资人民币境外清算行,在境内银行间外汇市场开展自营交易。境外央行类机构回购工具的操作对象纳入外资人民币业务清算行。

央行副行长、国家外汇管理局局长朱鹤新表示,外汇局要推出经常项目便利化、优化资本项目外汇管理两个“一揽子”政策,扩大证券公司结售汇业务试点。

中国金融的发展,从来不是一枝独秀,而是与全球同频共振。丁向群强调,中国金融业一如既往敞开怀抱,坚定不移推进对外开放,促进中外资机构同台竞技、良性互动。

开放、合作、包容。在金融街,看到的不只是政策的密度、开放的宽度,还有中国金融与世界双向奔赴的生动图景。

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 央行将择机把公开市场主要操作品种期限切换为隔夜

    Very likely · Within months

Open Questions

  • 政策利率具体换锚的时间点如何选择?
  • 主动ETF的具体落地细则和资金规模有多大?

Related Topics

This article was originally published by 中国新闻网.

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