Bills vs. Vikings prediction, odds, time: NFL Week 9 'Monday Night Football' picks from proven model
Quick Look
- The Buffalo Bills (6-1) face the Minnesota Vikings (6-1) on Monday Night Football at U.S.
- Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, with Buffalo favored by 3.5 points and the over/under set at 45.
- Kyler Murray is out for Minnesota, and SportsLine's model projects the Over as the slight value side.
AI-generated summary
Why It Matters
The Buffalo Bills and Minnesota Vikings are both 6-1 and lead their respective divisions, the AFC East and NFC North. Buffalo is 3-0 on the road in 2026, while Minnesota is 3-0 at home. The Bills defeated Baltimore 36-10 on Nov. 1, while Minnesota suffered its first loss of the season, 19-15 at Detroit, on the same day.
Division leaders meet when the Buffalo Bills battle the Minnesota Vikings in a key matchup on 'Monday Night Football.' Buffalo is coming off a 36-10 thrashing of Baltimore on Nov. 1, while Minnesota suffered its first loss of the season with a 19-15 setback at Detroit that same day. The Bills (6-1), who lead the AFC East, are 3-0 on the road in 2026. The Vikings (6-1), who lead the NFC North, are 3-0 on their home field this year. Quarterback Kyler Murray (hamstring) is out for Minnesota.
Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET from U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis. The latest Bills vs. Vikings odds have Buffalo as a 3.5-point favorite. The over/under for total points scored is 45. Before making any Vikings vs. Bills picks, be sure to see the 'Monday Night Football' predictions from SportsLine's proven model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $5,000 for $100 players on betting sites on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model entered Week 9 of the 2026 NFL season on a 60-51 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024. Anybody following its picks at NFL betting sites could have seen strong returns.
Now, the model has zoned in on Bills vs. Vikings. You can head to SportsLine now to see its picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Vikings vs. Bills:
After 10,000 simulations of Bills vs. Vikings, the model is going Over 45 points at betting apps. The Over has hit in three out of the last four Buffalo games, which is on par with the Bills' season-long total results. The Over is 5-2 for the Bills as just two teams have seen the total eclipsed more often this season entering Week 9. Additionally, three out of the last four matchups between these two in Minnesota have gone over.
The Over is 4-3 for the Vikings over their last seven games versus AFC opponents, and Carson Wentz' insertion under center is forecasted to inject life into Minnesota's offense. Three Vikings are projected to top 60 scrimmage yards, while Josh Allen and James Cook are projected to total nearly 125 rushing yards. The model calls for 45 combined points and has identified the Over as the slight value side at -110. See which team to back at SportsLine.
In addition to going Over, the model also says one side of the spread hits in more than 50% of simulations. See what it is at SportsLine.
Open Questions
- Which team does SportsLine's model recommend backing against the spread?
- What specific betting odds and lines are available for the game?
- Who will start at quarterback for Minnesota with Kyler Murray out?
