
AI-generated summary
Le baromètre Toluna Harris Interactive suit l'évolution des intentions de vote pour RTL et M6 sur huit vagues entre avril et octobre 2026.
Jean-Daniel Lévy est directeur du département Politique & Opinion et directeur délégué de l’institut Toluna France- Harris Interactive.
Entre avril et octobre 2026, Marine Le Pen a gagné trois points d’intentions de vote au premier tour (de 32 à 35 %) au fil des huit vagues successives du baromètre Toluna Harris Interactive mené pour RTL et M6, et entre quatre et huit points dans chacun des duels de second tour testés, face à Jean-Luc Mélenchon, Édouard Philippe, Raphaël Glucksmann et Gabriel Attal. Le fait marquant tient moins à son score qu’à la nature de son vote : un socle intact, un électorat qui s’élargit sans changer de convictions et des motivations qui passent de l’adhésion à la crédibilité.
Au premier tour, une progression dans l’électorat le plus âgé

Between April and October 2026, Marine Le Pen progressed by three points in the first round, reaching 35% of voting intentions. Its electorate is expanding, moving from a logic of support to a perception of credibility, according to the Toluna Harris Interactive barometer.

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