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Backانهيار الجمود في المفاوضات بين واشنطن وطهران مع اقتراب الانتخابات الأمريكية
انهيار الجمود في المفاوضات بين واشنطن وطهران مع اقتراب الانتخابات الأمريكية
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RT عربي3 hours agoPolitics1 min readArgentinaView translation

انهيار الجمود في المفاوضات بين واشنطن وطهران مع اقتراب الانتخابات الأمريكية

واشنطنطهرانترامب

Quick Look

انهار الجمود في المفاوضات بين واشنطن وطهران بعد أن قدمت طهران اقتراحًا لفتح مضيق هرمز دون رسوم مقابل رفع الحصار الأمريكي، مما أدى إلى لقاءات غير مباشرة على هامش اجتماعات الأمم المتحدة، بينما تهدد إيران بضربات استباقية إذا تأكدت من استعداد واشنطن لهجوم، ويؤكد ترامب أن العدوان على إيران كان أهم إنجاز خلال ولايته، مع اقتراب استحقاق انتخابي يحدد مصير ولايته.

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

تشهد العلاقات بين واشنطن وطهران توترًا مستمرًا منذ انسحاب الولايات المتحدة من الاتفاق النووي عام 2018 وإعادة فرض العقوبات على إيران، مع periodic تصعيدات عسكرية ودبلوماسية.

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انكسرَ في الأيامِ الماضية الجمودُ الذي يواجِهُهُ الحلِّ بين واشنطن وطهران. قدمت طهران اقتراحًا سارعَ ترامب لرفضه، لكنه أدى إلى لقاءات غيرِ مباشرة بين الطرفين على هامش اجتماعاتِ الجمعية العامة للأمم المتحدة. المعطيات تشير إلى أن مقترحًا جديدًا قُدِّمَ للجانبين، يقوم على فتح إيرانَ مضيقَ هرمز دونَ رسوم، مقابل رفعِ الحصار الأمريكي ومن ثمَّ تخفيف العقوبات تدريجياً. لكنَّ إيرانَ التي تنتظرُ الرَّدَّ الأمريكي على مقترحاتِها الأخيرة، تقول لن تنتظرَ عدوانًا جديدًا لتردَّ عليها، وإنما يهدد جيشُها بضرباتٍ استباقية إن تأكد من استعدادٍ لهجومٍ وشيك عليها. كلُّ هذا يجري فيما يؤكِّدُ الرئيس الأمريكيُّ مجدَّدًا أن العدوانَ على إيرانَ كان أهمَّ إنجازٍ خلال ولايتيه. لكنه يواجه بعد أسابيعَ استحقاقًا يحدد مصير ولايته، حين يقول الأمريكيون رأيَهُم بإنجازاتِ ترامب. أمام كلِّ هذا المشهد نسأل، ما احتمالات عودةِ طهرانَ وواشنطن إلى الديبلوماسية؟ ما الذي تقوله طهران عبر التهديد بالضرب الاستباقي؟ وما مدى ارتباطِ المواجهة بالانتخاباتِ الأمريكية؟

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • ستستمر اللقاءات غير المباشرة بين واشنطن وطهران على هامش الفعاليات الدولية في محاولة لتجنب تصعيد عسكري مباشر

    Likely · Within weeks

  • إذا تأكدت إيران من استعداد واشنطن لهجوم، فإنها ستنفذ تهديدها بالضربات الاستباقية على أهداف أمريكية أو حلفاء في المنطقة

    Possible · Within days

Open Questions

  • هل ستقبل الولايات المتحدة بمقترح إيران لفتح مضيق هرمز دون رسوم؟
  • ما هي الضمانات التي يمكن أن تقدمها كل طرف لضمان عدم تصعيد الوضع؟
  • كيف ستؤثر نتيجة الانتخابات الأمريكية على مسار المفاوضات مع إيران؟

Related Topics

واشنطن
Peopleدونالد ترامب
Organizationsالولايات المتحدةإيرانالجمعية العامة للأمم المتحدة
Placesمضيق هرمزالولايات المتحدةإيران
Topicsطهرانترامبمضيق هرمزالحصار الأمريكيالانتخابات الأمريكيةضربات استباقية
This article was originally published by RT عربي.

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