
AI-generated summary
This escalation comes after a massive Houthi attack during which it attempted to make breakthroughs in the axes of southern Hodeidah and western Taiz, amid information about large human and material losses among its ranks. The repercussions of the battles revealed a worsening human crisis within the group, with the numbers of dead and wounded being kept secret and school conscription expanding to compensate for the human bleeding.
The Houthi attack on the fronts of the West Coast, southern Hodeidah, and western Taiz began to rebound against the group on the third day of the widespread ground escalation, with the Yemeni government forces moving to the counterattack and achieving field progress in more than one axis, coinciding with military aircraft and drones entering the battle and targeting Houthi sites, reinforcements, and supply lines.
The Yemeni armed forces achieved progress on the Al-Jarahi, Haifan, and Jabal Habashi fronts, and took control of sites and hills of field importance. They also thwarted infiltration attempts and other attacks, at a time when the naval forces announced the destruction of two booby-trapped boats south of Al-Khawkhah on the Red Sea.
This transformation comes after a massive Houthi attack during which the group attempted to make breakthroughs in the areas south of Hodeidah and west of Taiz, amid information about large human and material losses among its ranks.
The repercussions of the battles reveal a worsening human crisis within the group, as medical sources in Sanaa say that hospitals, morgues and intensive care rooms are facing unprecedented pressure, with the Houthis stressing secrecy about the numbers of dead and wounded.
At the same time, the group is expanding recruitment operations in schools and luring high school students through events and training courses, in an attempt to compensate for the human bleeding, while government forces seek to exploit the counter-attack to protect Taiz and its corridor towards Mokha and secure the road to Bab al-Mandab.
Asharq Al-Awsat learned from an informed source that Hezbollah preferred to give up the Ali Al-Taher site in the south to the Israeli army without any political compensation, instead of handing it over to the Lebanese army, on the basis that this would allow it to keep its weapons north of the Litani River and cling to it under the pretext of fighting the occupation, according to the same source.
The source pointed out that “Iran’s threat to intervene in support of Hezbollah remained a dead letter,” noting that “Tehran gave the green light to the party to evacuate Ali Al-Taher.”
While the party did not issue any comment about the fall of the hills to the Israelis, it issued a statement in which it attacked the Lebanese government, holding it responsible for the support wars, criticizing its “wrong choices and its condescending and surrendering approach.” He believed that this government policy only led to “the perpetuation of the occupation and the continuation of the enemy’s aggression.”
Indications emerged in Baghdad yesterday that the negotiations being conducted by a tripartite committee formed by the Shiite “coordinating framework” to negotiate with factions refusing to hand over their weapons to the government have reached a dead end. This comes with the start of the countdown to the deadline of September 30, the date set for the final US withdrawal from Iraq. According to what was expressed by the Al-Nujaba movement, as well as the statements of both former Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki and the leader of the Badr Organization, Hadi al-Amiri, there is no final or settled date for handing over, restricting, removing or freezing weapons located outside the framework of the state.
The head of the political council of Al-Nujaba, Ali Al-Asadi, announced on Friday the movement’s adherence to its right not to infringe on what he called “the sanctity of the resistance weapon” in the face of regional dangers and threats, he said.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Yemeni government forces will continue to expand their counterattack to consolidate control over strategic sites on the western coast and Hodeidah soldiers
Likely · Within weeks
The Houthis will continue to keep quiet about casualties and expand recruitment operations in schools to make up for the shortage of fighters
Very likely · Within months
Arms delivery negotiations in Iraq will remain deadlocked even after the US withdrawal date of September 30
Possible · Within months
Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi held talks with his Omani and Turkish counterparts that dealt with bilateral issues and regional developments, including what Tehran described as “imposed insecurity” in the Strait of Hormuz as a result of American movements, and the latest developments in negotiations with the United States, according to Turkish diplomatic sources.
The Israeli army said that Hezbollah launched two suicide marches towards its forces in southern Lebanon, intercepted one of them, and threatened to evacuate a specific building in Arabsalim and the surrounding areas. Then, Israeli aircraft targeted the building in Arabsalim and launched two raids on Nabatieh al-Fawqa and Kafr Rumman, which led to the destruction of a three-storey residential building in Kafr Rumman.
An airport in Indonesia announced the extension of the suspension of flights until 9:30 a.m. local time due to volcanic ash from a volcano that began erupting on Friday, affecting 160 domestic flights, 39 international flights, and 10 cargo flights, with warnings to residents to use masks and cover water sources.
The Israeli army announced the targeting of Hezbollah positions in southern Lebanon after launching booby-trapped drones towards its forces, and issued evacuation orders for residents near Hezbollah facilities, confirming that there were no casualties among its forces and the continuation of military action against Hezbollah’s repeated attempts.
The Politico article makes clear that US control of a massive Venezuelan oil project is not just a regional deal, but rather a model of a broader strategy Washington seeks to apply to Iran, using economic and political leverage to turn pressure into long-term control of resources, highlighting fundamental differences between the two cases that make a repeat of the model in Iran unlikely.

American forces carried out strikes on three Iranian oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz in response to the Revolutionary Guard launching ballistic missiles towards American ships, with tensions escalating over the Iranian nuclear program and the West’s attempts to refer the file to the Security Council, while the White House seeks to contain the escalation until the midterm elections in November.