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BackLin Deen: The intensity of Shuliji will continue to increase, reaching at least a moderate typhoon or above.
Lin Deen: The intensity of Shuliji will continue to increase, reaching at least a moderate typhoon or above.
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自由时报1 hour agoWorld1 min readChinaView original

Lin Deen: The intensity of Shuliji will continue to increase, reaching at least a moderate typhoon or above.

Lin DeenSchulikityphoon

Quick Look

  • Lin De'en, a doctor of atmospheric sciences at National Taiwan University, pointed out that Typhoon Shuliji will be affected by high sea temperature, weak vertical wind shear and high heat enthalpy environment, and its intensity will increase all the way, at least reaching the level of moderate typhoon or above.
  • Saturday and next Sunday (26th and 27th) are key turning points.
  • The storm circle is small in scale and is a "small steel cannon type" fall stage.

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

Typhoon Shuli intensified into a typhoon on the 23rd, and its subsequent path and intensity are affected by environmental factors such as sea temperature, wind shear, and heat enthalpy.

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Lin Deen pointed out that the intensity of Shuliji will increase all the way to at least moderate typhoon level or above. (Extracted from the website of the Central Meteorological Administration)

Lin De'en, a doctor of atmospheric sciences at National Taiwan University, pointed out that Shuliji, which intensified into a typhoon yesterday (23rd), will pass through sea areas with higher sea temperatures, weaker vertical wind shear, and large seawater heat enthalpy. It is estimated that the intensity will increase along the way, at least reaching the level of moderate typhoon or above.

Lin Deen posted on the Facebook fan page "Teacher Lin Weather Station" that according to the latest meteorological information from the Central Meteorological Administration at 2 a.m. today (24th), Shuliji was guided by the environmental flow field. Since the westward expansion of the Pacific high pressure was not as strong as expected, the typhoon's northward movement has increased significantly.

Please read on...

Lin Deen emphasized that Saturday and next Sunday (26th and 27th) will be the key time points for Shuliji’s turn, and the subsequent trends are worthy of attention.

As for the size of Shuliki's storm circle, Lin De'en said that the current assessment is that the wind radius of a Category 7 storm is between 100 and 180 kilometers, and the radius of a Category 10 storm is only about 50 to 60 kilometers, which is a "small steel cannon type" autumn stage.

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What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • The intensity of Shuliji will be at least moderate typhoon level or above.

    Likely · Within days

  • Saturday and next Sunday (26th and 27th) will be the key time points for Shuliji’s turn.

    Possible · Within days

Open Questions

  • Where will Shuliki end up?
  • What will its peak intensity be?
  • Will it have a direct impact on Taiwan?

Related Topics

Lin Deen
OrganizationsNational Taiwan UniversityCentral Meteorological Administration
PlacesTaiwanpacific ocean
TopicsSchulikityphoonModerate typhoonstorm circleSmall steel gun typeSST
This article was originally published by 自由时报.

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