
AI-generated summary
The elections concern the renewal of the tripartite presidency and over 500 institutional positions in Bosnia-Herzegovina, established by the 1995 peace agreements which divide power between Bosniaks, Croats and Serbs.
Introduction
Polls closed in Bosnia-Herzegovina for the general elections involving over 3.4 million voters called to renew the country's tripartite presidency and more than 500 positions at different institutional levels. The former pro-Russian leader of Bosnia's Serb entity, Milorad Dodik, said his party retained power in a general election today marked by a sharp decline in voter turnout. Around 3.4 million voters were called to elect the representatives of a complex institutional structure - resulting from the 1995 peace agreements - based on the sharing of power between Bosniaks (Muslims), Croats (Catholics) and Serbs (Orthodox). The main issue at stake in these elections is the tripartite presidency, divided between Bosniaks, Serbs and Croats; the Serbian nationalists led by Milorad Dodik conducted the electoral campaign focusing on greater autonomy and secessionist rhetoric.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
International authorities will closely monitor institutional developments in Bosnia and Herzegovina in the coming months.
Likely · Within months

According to a Datafolha projection based on 55.6% of the votes counted, Senator Flávio Bolsonaro will face Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in the presidential run-off on October 25, with 49.17% to 42.01%.

With around 40% of the votes counted, Flavio Bolsonaro is at 50.4% and Lula at 41.4%, with an advantage of 9 points. However, the gap could narrow as the first results traditionally favor the sovereignist candidate, while the votes from the north-eastern states, Lula's strongholds, will arrive later.

In Brazil, with almost 32% of the ballots counted in the 2026 presidential and legislative elections, Flavio Bolsonaro is in the lead with 50.74% of the votes, followed by Lula at 41.14%. If Bolsonaro exceeds 50%, he wins in the first round and becomes president in 2027; otherwise we will go to the run-off on October 25th.

Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez could announce an advance to the political elections as early as tomorrow after the parliamentary rejection of the housing decrees, according to El Pais. PSOE and the government are preparing the electoral scenario by also evaluating the reinstatement of the rejected measures, possibly after the dissolution of the Cortes.

According to the latest polls before the first round of the Brazilian elections on October 4, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro are in a technical tie with 45% and 42% of the valid votes respectively, while another poll puts them at 46% in the second round. Voting is compulsory for literate citizens between 18 and 70 years of age, with the possibility of a blank or blank ballot. 26,500 soldiers were mobilized to ensure security in the 8,827 polling stations, while the Federal Police seized 4.4 million euros in cash as part of operations against vote-swapping. The TSE president warned that any attempt to interfere with the vote will be repressed.

General elections are taking place in Bosnia-Herzegovina with over 7 thousand candidates for 518 positions, including the three members of the state presidency and the 42 deputies of the House of Representatives. The campaign is dominated by nationalist parties from the three ethnic communities, while electronic monitoring systems are introduced for the first time to prevent fraud. The number of registered voters exceeds that of residents due to strong emigration, with almost 48 thousand citizens registered to vote from abroad.