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Back專家指莫習會僅暫時休兵 不看好印中破冰
專家指莫習會僅暫時休兵 不看好印中破冰
Politics
自由时报21 minutes agoPolitics2 min readChina

專家指莫習會僅暫時休兵 不看好印中破冰

金磚國家峰會期間的「莫習會」引發高度關注,但印度智庫指出,印中角力處於「暫時休兵」狀態,破冰不被看好。

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金磚國家峰會期間印相莫迪與中國國家主席習近平舉行會談,被視為破冰象徵。但印度智庫專家夏海娜指出,這僅是雙方暫時休兵,因邊境爭議、經濟依賴及資訊安全等深層矛盾,印中關係難以真正回溫。

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Why It Matters

金磚國家峰會期間印中領導人舉行會談,雙方長期存在邊境與領土爭議。

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金磚國家(BRICS)峰會期間的「莫習會」引發高度關注,但印度智庫指出,莫迪與習近平這次的會談只是讓印中角力處於「暫時休兵」的狀態,所謂的印中「破冰」並不被看好。

金磚國家峰會12日、13日在新德里的印度會議中心(Bharat Mandapam)舉行,印度總理莫迪(Narendra Modi)與中國國家主席習近平在峰會期間進行的雙邊會談被外界視為印中「破冰」象徵,因此格外受到矚目。

印度智庫「中國分析及策略中心」(Centre for China Analysis and Strategy)研究員夏海娜(Namrata Hasija)接受中央社記者採訪時表示,習近平出席金磚國家峰會,只是參加一項國際會議,與莫迪會面,也只是雙方暫時休戰罷了。

對於印度面對來自中國的威脅,夏海娜提到,印度在包括軍事營地內的部分敏感地點,和包括交通號誌在內的基礎設施,裝有中國製監視器,有關專家曾對此提出警告,稱那些設備會蒐集相關資料並回傳到中國,將帶來嚴重的風險。

她指出,中國的低價策略也促使大量電子產品、生活用品外銷到印度,讓印度必須嚴重依賴中國,進一步使印度試圖要自力更生的努力被削弱。

此外,夏海娜表示,中國正積極找具影響力的網紅到中國去,就算粉絲數相對較少的社群媒體創作者也同樣會受邀請,那些人被安排到中國去看一看,然後回印度製作一些親中的東西,「有些內容令人感到驚愕,如稱2020年加萬谷(Galwan Valley)中印流血衝突,印度才是始作俑者便是一例」。

她點出,中國能夠透過非正式管道要求孟加拉修改教科書中的內容,將查摩與克什米爾(Jammu and Kashmir)移出印度地圖,可見其在南亞各國的影響力極深。

夏海娜告訴中央社記者,中國的所作所為讓印度難以與其維持良好關係,她並不看好印中的連結能靠金磚國家峰會期間的「莫習會」改善。

印度和中國接壤且具爭議的邊界近3500公里,雙方長期在實質控制線(Line of Actual Control)沿線對峙,2023年中國更公布新版地圖,將存在爭議的阿魯納查邦(Arunachal Pradesh)和阿克賽欽地區(Aksai Chin)納入中國領土,稱其擁有那塊「藏南地區」的主權;邊境、領土問題上的角力,正是雙方積怨難解、關係難以真正回溫的一大主因。

Open Questions

  • 印中邊境問題何時能實質談判解決?
  • 印度未來是否會對中國製設備採取進一步限制?

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This article was originally published by 自由时报.

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