
AI-generated summary
Il ministro dell'Economia Giancarlo Giorgetti ha presentato le previsioni di deficit e debito dopo l'approvazione del Documento di programmazione di finanza pubblica (Dpfp) da parte del Consiglio dei ministri, inserendole nel contesto delle regole europee che consentono una spesa supplementare sotto determinate condizioni.
"Il deficit dovrebbe stare sotto il 3% anche nel 2026, ma come sapete non basta e le nostre previsioni sono, tenendo conto della spesa supplementare consentita dalle regole europee, che salga al 3,4% nel 27, 3,3% nel 2028 2,4% nel 2029". Lo ha detto il ministro dell'Economia Giancarlo Giorgetti in conferenza stampa, dopo il cdm che ha approvato il Dpfp.
"Per quanto riguarda il sentiero del debito, il profilo tendenziale è al 138,1% nel 2026, al 138,6% nel '27, 137,7% nel '28 e 136,3% nel 2029", ha aggiunto il ministro.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Il deficit pubblico salirà al 3,4% nel 2027 e al 3,3% nel 2028 prima di scendere al 2,4% nel 2029
Likely · Within months
Il rapporto debito/PIL seguirà un profilo al 138,1% nel 2026, 138,6% nel 2027, 137,7% nel 2028 e 136,3% nel 2029
Likely · Within months

The public finance planning document approved by the Council of Ministers revises 2026 GDP growth upwards to 1% and forecasts a deficit/GDP ratio of 2.9%. The planned public debt remains above 138% until 2029, with a deviation of around 28 billion for energy and defense in the two-year period 2027-28. Giorgetti illustrates the 2026 Report to Parliament and announces the parliamentary vote on the deviation scheduled for 13 October.

The Public Finance Policy Document indicates growth is forecast at 1% in 2026, slowing to 0.8% thereafter, with public debt rising to 138.6% in 2027 before starting to decline. The deficit should fall below 3% of GDP in 2026 thanks to the deviation allowed for defense and energy, allowing Italy to exit the EU infringement procedure. Among the measures under study: extension of the cut in the second Irpef rate up to 60,000 euros, flat tax at 5% for salary increases for young people, possible confirmation of the home bonus at 50-65% and partial use of the national safeguard clause for 28 billion allocated to defense and energy in 2027-2028.

According to an Eumetra survey, 79% of Italians report an increase in spending on fuel compared to six months ago, exceeding the increases in bills (74%) and food spending (68%). The increase in costs has led 43% to reduce car use and 32% to give up travel, while Istat confirms a decline in consumer and business confidence in September 2026. Facile.it estimates a burden of over 1.3 billion euros more than the previous year, with a possible increase of 36% in October.

Taxpayers can join the scrapping-quinquies between 16 October and 15 December 2026 to facilitate the settlement of debts entrusted to the Revenue-Collection Agency by local authorities that have adopted the provision by 31 July 2026. The membership concerns 1,481 Municipalities, 5 Regions, 11 Provinces and 4 Unions of municipalities, with a prevalence of authorities from the South and the Islands (68%). It allows you to pay only the capital due and the notification costs, eliminating interest and penalties on local taxes such as Imu, Tari, Tasi and fines from the local police.

In Italy, declared incomes show strong disparities: footballers earn on average 250 thousand euros per year, while nightclub managers declare just over 11 thousand euros. In 2024, approximately 24.8 million Italians did not pay Irpef, despite the overall revenue reaching 216.2 billion euros, concentrated mainly in the highest income brackets.

According to Confesercenti, since 2022 energy shocks have caused the Italian economy to lose 46 billion in purchasing power, over 30 billion in consumption and almost 52 billion in real GDP, while the fiscal pressure has increased by 77 billion in additional taxes for families and businesses compared to 2021. President Gronchi calls for a European shield against vulnerability to external shocks and structural measures to reduce energy costs and lighten labor taxes, warning of an autumn in the balance for the Italian economy.