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Back沈伯洋『洋流』效應擴大:Google搜尋熱度領先蔣萬安54%,掃街人潮顯示民眾主動參與
沈伯洋『洋流』效應擴大:Google搜尋熱度領先蔣萬安54%,掃街人潮顯示民眾主動參與
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自由时报1 hour agoPolitics2 min readChinaView translation

沈伯洋『洋流』效應擴大:Google搜尋熱度領先蔣萬安54%,掃街人潮顯示民眾主動參與

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根據『聲量看政治』粉專分析,民進黨台北市長參選人沈伯洋的Google一週平均搜尋熱度達54,領先國民黨參選人蔣萬安的35,高出約54%;YouTube泛綠直播觀看人次從3.8萬升至近6萬,泛藍從5千增至1萬以上;公館掃街吸引民眾自願參與,有人下午3點即到場等候,支持者反擊『工讀生』質疑,凸顯選民對沈伯洋的主動關注與政治投入正在升溫。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

台北市長選舉正進行中,民進黨提名沈伯洋,國民黨提名蔣萬安。選戰進入關鍵階段,網路搜尋趨勢與實體掃街成為衡量候選人人氣與民眾參與度的重要指標。

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臉書粉專「聲量看政治」表示,民進黨台北市長參選人沈伯洋掀起的「洋流」效應已超越單純新聞曝光,轉化為民眾主動搜尋熱潮。根據近1週台北市Google Trends資料顯示,沈伯洋平均搜尋熱度達54,領先蔣萬安的35,高出約54%。不同於被動接收新聞,主動搜尋反映台北市民對沈伯洋的關注顯著提升,且搜尋曲線自11日起多數維持在蔣萬安之上,今天(16日)更出現新高峰,顯示社會注意力正發生轉變。

粉專「聲量看政治」今日發文直指,「Google一週搜尋54比35,真的起風了!國民黨最大誤判:把沈伯洋支持者罵成蟑螂,反逼出更強大洋流」。除了搜尋指數攀升,影音聲量也呈現外溢趨勢。沈伯洋在YouTube的泛綠直播觀看人次自9日約3.8萬一路拉至近6萬人次,泛藍聲量從約5千往1萬人次以上移動。反觀蔣萬安蔣萬安泛藍直播聲量這幾天並沒有同步向上,甚至呈現緩步下降的狀態。且王偉忠專訪沈伯楊影片9月10日上架後,15日下午已破204萬次觀看,不論觀看者最後支持誰,這支訪談確實把沈伯洋帶進比一般政治同溫層更大的市場。

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「聲量看政治」說,真正讓他覺得「起風了」的,其實還不是Google,也不是YT,而是昨晚的公館掃街。因為網路數據可以受到演算法、媒體報導甚至反對者觀看影響,但要一群人願意晚上離開家裡,搭車到公館,只為了看候選人掃街,這是完全不同等級的政治投入。

「聲量看政治」認為,更關鍵的是,沈伯洋人還沒抵達,現場就已經出現等候人潮,甚至有人下午3點就到,而掃街開始之後人潮一路延續到深夜。這不是候選人走進市場,旁邊民眾順便圍過來而已,是一群人特地把自己的時間空下來,只為看沈伯洋一眼。

「聲量看政治」分析,面對人潮湧現,國民黨市議員林杏兒質疑現場夾雜外地人與工讀生,汪志冰甚至以「蟑螂、老鼠」形容相關動員,卻引發支持者反彈。昨天在華榮市場便有支持者主動高喊「我不是工讀生、我沒有領現金」,形成典型反向動員效應。

「聲量看政治」最後說,國民黨現在最不該做的,恰好就是繼續告訴大家「你們都是假的。」因為一場選舉真正開始起風,往往不是所有人突然愛上一個候選人,重點在於,當愈來愈多人開始覺得「這件事跟我有關」,那就完全不一樣了。而從這幾天的反應來看,「你說我是工讀生,我就偏要自己來」,恐怕正是洋流匯聚的原因之一。

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 沈伯洋的搜尋熱度與掃街人潮將持續增長,直至選舉日前一週

    Likely · Within weeks

  • 國民黨的『工讀生』質疑將進一步激發支持者反彈,強化沈伯洋的『洋流』效應

    Possible · Within days

Open Questions

  • 沈伯洋的搜尋熱度是否能持續至投票日?
  • 國民黨的負面言論是否會進一步動員其支持基礎?
  • 公館掃街的人潮規模是否代表真實選民支持基礎的擴大?

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This article was originally published by 自由时报.

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