IBGE estimates record grain harvest in 2026: 354.5 million tons

The September estimate for grain production in 2026 increased by 2.4%, to 354.5 million tons, compared to 2025 (346.1 million tons).

In relation to August 2026, the forecast was practically stable, with a variation of 0.4% – an increase of 1,566,233 tons.

The information is contained in the Systematic Survey of Agricultural Production by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE), released this Thursday (15).

The estimated production of cereals, legumes and oilseeds in September 2026 is a record for the IBGE historical series.

The area to be harvested is estimated at 83.2 million hectares, an increase of 1.6 million hectares (2%) compared to the area harvested in 2025 (81.6 million hectares). In relation to the month of August 2026, the area to be harvested grew by 143,672 hectares (variation of 0.2%).

Rice, soy and corn

Rice, corn and soybeans are the three main products in this group which, together, represented 93% of the production estimate and accounted for 87.3% of the area to be harvested.

For soybeans, the production estimate was 175 million tons, an increase of 5.4% compared to the previous year. The area to be harvested grew by 1.3%.

Rice production (in paddy) was estimated at 11.2 million tons, a drop of 11.4%. The area to be harvested also decreased by 12.6%.

As for corn, the estimate was 143.3 million tons (1.6 million tons above 2025, an increase of 1.1%). The estimate is 29.7 million tons of corn in the first harvest (up 15.5%) and 113.6 million tons of corn in the second harvest (down 2.0%). The area to be harvested for corn grew 2.5%, 8% for first-crop corn and 1.1% for second-harvest corn.

Too many grains

The September estimate for wheat production in 2026 was 5.9 million tons (24% less than in 2025).

The estimate for herbaceous cotton (seed) was 9.5 million tons (down 3.9%) and that for sorghum was 6 million tons (up 11%). The estimate for beans is a 6.6% drop in production.