The report that the National Police delivered last Monday at the National Court to Judge María Tardón has marked the beginning of a dust storm that shakes the body after the anger of the Minister of the Interior, Fernando Grande-Marlaska, who assured that there were no prior warnings of the migratory avalanche of July 30, contrary to what the agents of the General Immigration Commission have signed. This report analyzes images of the entry of some 70,000 people into Ceuta and points to the possibility that Moroccan gendarmes could be coordinating this action, although they do not directly point to any intellectual authorship. The document is now part of the beginning of the judicial case that may arise if the judge, who is waiting for a report from the Prosecutor's Office, decides to open an investigation. These are some of the keys to what is known so far:
When were the reports commissioned? It was on July 31, just one day after thousands of people crossed the Ceuta border from Morocco, when the investigating magistrate of the Central Investigative Court Number 3 of the National Court, María Tardón, took the first step to initiate an investigation. He did so after receiving a complaint from the political party Iustitia Europa. He opened what are called preliminary proceedings and requested a report from the General Commissariat for Immigration and Borders (UCRIF) of the National Police to clarify whether the massive entry into Ceuta was “a concerted action or directed by some criminal organization or group.”
Days later, on August 3, Cadena SER published that the National Intelligence Center (CNI) had given “several warnings” to the Ministry of the Interior about the risk of a massive entry. At that time, the numbers of migrants who died during border crossings also began to circulate. And it was on the 4th when the judge asked the Civil Guard to inform her about the rescue operations for people located in Spanish waters, as well as data related to the deceased migrants and the survivors. In addition, he asked me to specify if he had “any information the previous days” that could have “warned” him of what happened.
Who wrote the police report? The first report that has been delivered comes from the General Immigration Commission, which includes the National Center for Immigration and Borders (CENIF), which, according to police sources, is a kind of body that works with intelligence information on the border. Among its functions is the preparation of reports, informative notes and alerts on immigration based on data related to irregular entry and flows into national territory. It is not an investigative unit as such, so it is not part of the Judicial Police and it does not have personnel deployed in Morocco, but it draws on all the data that Immigration has with agents distributed throughout the territories.
What material was it written with? The document, which has 55 pages, analyzes images, videos and messages spread on social networks, as well as interviews in the media with migrants who arrived in Ceuta. The conclusions are based on data collection and analysis, as well as monitoring mobile activity on those days. The agents have analyzed, for example, the prefixes of the mobile phones that were at the border those days, concluding that the vast majority (90.8% of the total sample) had Moroccan prefixes.
Does the Police hold anyone responsible? The report does not attribute the massive entry of migrants to a particular intellectual actor, but does highlight the “permissiveness” of the Moroccan Security Forces. The agents maintain that it was not “something accidental.” They compare the case of last July with the episodes of 2021 and 2024 and assure that on this occasion the “immigration purpose” operated only as a “formal cover” to “direct a massive flow of people to Ceuta.” They also insist that this time the mass crossing took place “without blockages on the access roads”, with “means of transport” and “without public order incidents”.
For the Police, "it is incompatible" that the action had a "spontaneous origin, without internal organization, nor a minimum support of organization directed on the ground." The objective, in his opinion, was “to eliminate Spain's ability to respond.” And he emphasizes that the fact that so many people gathered at the same time and in the same place is another sign that there was “a high level of specialization of tasks or functions” that are not within the reach of “any criminal structure” known in that area.
Which Moroccan agents are you pointing to? The unit in charge of presenting its conclusions to the National Court deduces - through the analysis of images and videos spread on social networks, as well as interviews with migrants - that there were both plainclothes agents during the mass entry and other Moroccan gendarmes who helped on the ground with notable permissiveness. He describes those not in uniform as “activating agents” who acted “on the ground” and assures that they walked “in the opposite direction to the flow of people” and moved away from the passageways while they watched the groups advance towards the Spanish border. In addition, he points out that in some cases they were “giving instructions to uniformed personnel” who were in the area. Likewise, it points out that these “uniforms” gave “indications” to people crossing the border to “overcome obstacles” and organized access to the area for large-tonnage vehicles with a large number of immigrants. The report includes photographs; based on the analysis of the images, to detail who these cooperators could be.
What elements stand out in the report? The Police emphasize the importance of social networks and reflect the messages spread in the days before the massive entry on Facebook, Instagram and TikTok. "Share this publication: on July 30, 2026 we are going to launch an attack against Ceuta", "it is going to be the best assault", "guys, we are grouping together to leave... we want to advance in groups of 10" are some of the texts it includes. Likewise, it highlights that on the day of the crossing that unleashed the migratory crisis, communications such as "they opened the door this morning" are "generalized in all applications simultaneously." In addition, the report rules out that the regularization of migrants promoted by the Government will generate a “call effect” and highlights that the content of the Supreme Court ruling of June 29 that limited hot returns in swimming entries was manipulated.
It points out that it was Throne Day in Morocco and images from aerial cameras highlight a notable decrease in border controls that day. Likewise, it completely rules out the possibility that mafias or criminal organizations could be behind this massive entry because, firstly, they do not have the capacity to mobilize so many people and, secondly, they have an economic motive that, in this case, has not been seen.
What is the profile of immigrants according to the document? The Police highlight in their report that the majority of people who entered Ceuta irregularly were not seeking to remain in Spanish territory. He insists that “only approximately 10%” of those who crossed the border remain. It divides migrants into two main groups: men between 15 and 25 years old (with a high percentage of minors), equipped with wetsuits, tires or floats of Moroccan nationality; and people in their 40s, mostly dressed in sportswear and flip-flops. Regarding the latter, he points out that, although the majority were Moroccan, there were also “people of sub-Saharan origin.”
Do the Police give prior warnings? The report maintains that, based on the evidence monitored in open sources, several alerts were issued from the National Center for Immigration and Borders (CENIF) to the Border Posts of Ceuta, Melilla, Algeciras, the Canary Islands and Cádiz. Specifically, it details up to eight between July 29 and August 4, although one stands out on July 29, the day before the massive entry occurred. The director of the National Police has explained to the minister in a letter issued this Wednesday that this alert was “of frequent risk” and in no case did he quantify what was going to happen.
What does Immigration say about the second massive call? The agents compare the call on networks for the massive entry on July 30 and 31 with the messages that were later spread for a jump organized on August 15. He maintains that the first case had “a planned design model for the viralization of messages on social networks” that limited the “dependence on chance.” And he emphasizes that the following call on networks was “artificially more detectable”, which he considers a “control exercise” so that the management of the Moroccan Security Forces is “whitewashed”.
What happened between Marlaska and the director of the Police? The content of the report was published on Tuesday afternoon in the newspaper El Español and it was then that the Minister of the Interior, Fernando Grande-Marlaska, claims that he learned of the existence of this data. For this reason, after twelve at night, he sent the director of the Police, Francisco Pardo Piqueras, a letter to inform him as soon as possible if it was true that the force had data that Morocco was behind what happened. Pardo Piqueras met on Wednesday morning with the two people in charge of Immigration – Commissioner General Juan Ávila and Commissioner Alfredo Miravete – to whom the unit that prepared the report depends, and the Commissioner General of Information, Javier Antonio Susín. Both general commissioners prepared reports addressed to their superior to explain what happened and the Deputy Operational Director (DAO) of the Police indicated in writing that the reports "do not allow us to establish the involvement of any government, service, agency or person, the intellectual authorship of said massive entry being unknown at this time."
Did the judge ask the agents not to inform Marlaska? The Immigration Commissioner assures in a document that he delivered to his superiors that the instructor of the National Court asked through a telephone call to maintain the “maximum confidentiality” about the content of the report on the mass entry into Ceuta. According to their story, the judge stressed that they acted as judicial police and could not share their information with their superiors in the Police or the Ministry of the Interior. In that call, Tardón also urged them to “move forward” quickly on the report they have now delivered.
