Smoking: Expensive cigarettes: Bundestag votes for higher tobacco tax
Quick Look
- The Bundestag has decided to gradually increase the tobacco tax, which will increase the price of a pack of 20 cigarettes from currently around eight euros to almost twelve euros by 2030.
- The measure is intended to generate billions in tax revenue annually and reduce consumption, although the tobacco industry warns against switching to the black market.
AI-generated summary
Why It Matters
Germany already collects tobacco taxes, which are passed on to consumers. The 2025 microcensus showed that 19 percent of people over 15 are smokers. According to the German Cancer Research Center, around 131,000 people died of tobacco-related diseases in 2023.
Millions of people smoke in Germany, which brings the federal government billions in revenue from tobacco taxes. There will be even more in the future. Smokers therefore have to be prepared for higher prices.
A woman smokes a cigarette (archive): This could become more expensive in the future. Photo: dpa
Berlin. Cigarettes are likely to become significantly more expensive in Germany in the coming years. With the votes of the coalition factions from the Union and the SPD, the Bundestag voted for an amendment to the law that will gradually increase the tobacco tax in the coming years.
Since this tax collection is passed on to customers, the price is expected to rise from currently around eight euros per pack of 20 cigarettes to just under 12 euros in 2030. Fine-cut cigarettes - i.e. cigarettes that you roll yourself - will also become significantly more expensive.
The federal government is hoping for additional tax revenue of around 12 billion euros within four years to plug the holes in the budget. The black-red coalition hopes – similar to the planned sugar tax on drinks – to have a steering effect so that citizens live healthier lives.
But the tobacco industry has doubts about this - it fears that smokers will turn to the black market and legal dealers will suffer losses. Millions of people in Germany turn to tobacco cigarettes. The 2025 microcensus showed that 19 percent of those aged 15 and over smoked.
With this decision, the Bundestag goes well beyond the original government draft. Overall, it was ensured that another 3.3 billion euros would be injected into the state coffers - 750 million in 2027, rising to 872 million in 2030.
The federal government justified the amendment to the law with the necessary budget consolidation and health protection. According to the German Cancer Research Center, around 131,000 people in Germany died as a result of tobacco-related diseases in 2023. Health experts believe higher prices are an effective measure to encourage smokers to quit.
The legislative process for tobacco tax ends on Friday in the Federal Council. The state chamber has the opportunity to object to the amendment to the law, but there is no sign of this so far. It is therefore expected that the Federal Council will approve the project and that the tax increase will be a done deal.
What to Watch
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
The Federal Council will approve the tobacco tax increase without objection.
Very likely · Within days
Open Questions
- What will the actual black market share be after the tax increase?
- Will the expected additional tax revenue of 12 billion euros be fully realized within four years?
- What accompanying measures are taken to help smokers quit?





