Election poll: Civic Coalition leads with 30.9%, PiS loses to Confederation
Quick Look
- If the elections were held today, the Civic Coalition would receive 30.9% support, which means an increase of 2.8 percentage points.
- Law and Justice dropped to 17.3%, while Confederation gained 2.1 points and reached 15.3%.
- The Confederation of the Crown of Poland received 10% support, the Left 7.7%, and Mateusz Morawiecki's party 6.4%.
AI-generated summary
Why It Matters
The survey presents hypothetical results of the parliamentary elections in Poland based on the latest surveys of support for political parties.
If the elections were held today, the Civic Coalition would be the winner with 30.9 percent. This is an increase of 2.8 percentage points compared to the previous month. Despite a clear advantage over its rivals, such a result does not guarantee KO independent rule - coalition talks would be necessary.
PiS loses to Confederation
Law and Justice can count on 17.3 percent of the votes, which means a decrease of 0.8 percentage points compared to August. Jarosław Kaczyński's party increasingly feels competition from other right-wing parties, especially Confederation.
The Confederation and the Confederation of the Polish Crown are gaining
The Confederation is recording an increase in support - currently 15.3 percent of respondents declare their support for it, which is 2.1 percentage points more than a month ago. The Confederation of the Crown of Poland is also doing better and better, with every tenth respondent willing to vote for it. This is an increase of 1.2 percentage points.
The Left and Morawiecki's group in the Sejm
The Left would also enter the Sejm, gaining 7.7 percent of support (an increase of 1.1 percentage points), and Mateusz Morawiecki's party, which remains at 6.4 percent.
PSL, the Razem Party and Poland 2050 are in decline
Below the electoral threshold were the Polish People's Party with a result of 4.4 percent and the Razem Party - 3.1 percent. Poland 2050 practically disappears from the political map - only 0.2 percent of respondents declared their willingness to vote for this group.
Open Questions
- Would the Civic Coalition be able to form a coalition government?
- Which parties could be part of a potential government coalition?
- Will the decline in support for PiS continue in the coming months?
