
Economists warn of tough budget choices and long-term affordability concerns as the triple lock policy drives pension increases.
The UK state pension is projected to exceed £13,000 next April due to the triple lock policy, sparking economic warnings over affordability and generational fairness ahead of the upcoming Budget.
AI-generated summary
The triple lock policy guarantees annual pension increases by wage growth, inflation, or 2.5%, whichever is highest.
The state pension is expected to top £13,000 next April, reigniting the debate about its long-term affordability and generational fairness.
It is expected to rise by £488 to £13,036.40 a year, based on the latest official earnings figure released on Tuesday.
The so-called triple lock pension policy guarantees that annual payments will increase by either average wage growth, inflation or 2.5% - whichever is highest.
Labour made a manifesto pledge to keep the triple lock, however economists have warned about the cost of the policy and it will mean tough spending choices in next month's Budget.
The policy is "crazy," Ruth Curtice, the chief executive of the Resolution Foundation think tank, told the BBC.
The triple lock is creating a "ratchet effect" where "pensioners' living standards grow even faster than just a typical worker," she added.
The policy was introduced under the Conservative-Liberal Democrat coalition government.
Curtice told the BBC's Today programme: "It's not affordable in any situation to simply have pensions rising faster than earnings because earnings are a big part of the tax base.
"Pensioners have seen living standards grow three times more than typical workers over the last 20 years."
Average wage growth, including bonuses, eased to 3.9% between May and July, according to the Office for National Statistics. However, it remains above inflation at 2.9%.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
State pension to rise by £488 to £13,036.40 a year next April
Very likely · Within months

On the 15th, the inland section of the Pinglu Canal was tentatively designated as the "Inland River Class B Navigation Zone", marking the comprehensive establishment of the navigation zone system for the first canal connecting the river and the sea since the founding of the People's Republic of China. This move will enable inland river ships to sail directly to the river-sea junction area, significantly improve logistics efficiency and reduce comprehensive logistics costs.
Industrial Bank released its 2026 semi-annual report, disclosing its transformation results since it elevated “digital intelligence” to its “first strategy”. The report shows that the bank deployed 21,800 smart strategies in the first half of the year, reaching 597 million customers, driving comprehensive financial assets of 178.459 billion yuan, and continuing to promote the transition from "digital development" to "smart development".
At the opening of the IAA Transportation in Hanover, the VDA complains about massive gaps in the charging and hydrogen infrastructure for commercial vehicles. President Hildegard Müller is calling for an infrastructure boost and better framework conditions.

It was determined that a company made fake producer receipts in the name of people with death records and unknowing farmers, making it seem like they had purchased products, and reflected the prices high.

Kyobo Life Insurance's board of directors approved a merger plan with its 100% subsidiary, Kyobo Life Planet Life Insurance, an internet life insurance company. This decision was made to secure digital competitiveness and respond to regulatory changes, and is scheduled to be completed in April next year.

The minimum wage review meeting will be held on the 24th. It is expected that the minimum wage will be raised next year for the 11th consecutive year and the monthly salary will exceed 30,000 yuan. Minister of Economic Affairs Gong Mingxin said that because the development of AI and transmission industry is out of sync, it is hoped that the amplitude adjustment will be included in the affordability of small, medium and micro enterprises. If the enterprises encounter difficulties due to salary adjustment, the Ministry of Economic Affairs will provide assistance.