Breaking
RUIn Sochi, a tree fell on a regular bus with passengersTRAn earthquake occurred in Eastern and Southeastern Anatolia: Characteristics of the Eastern Anatolian Fault Line and the provinces it passes throughARResults of the legislative elections in Morocco 2026: the advancement of authenticity and modernity and a strong return to justice and developmentJPAeon voluntarily recalls approximately 14,000 circulators due to risk of fireRUUS may ban diesel exportsRUThe Ministry of Finance of the Russian Federation proposed introducing a 30% tax on additional income for some mining and metals companiesPLDisciplinary proceedings in the Constitutional Tribunal. The case of judges refusing to adjudicateCNTainan Railway underground opens to traffic on October 18, 126-year-old historic station remains accessibleCNInternet celebrity "Jake Chili" was reportedly stabbed with a knife and sent to the hospital, suspected to be related to past cat abuse incidentsITThe Russian sabotage campaign and the drone risk in EuropeRUIn Sochi, a tree fell on a regular bus with passengersTRAn earthquake occurred in Eastern and Southeastern Anatolia: Characteristics of the Eastern Anatolian Fault Line and the provinces it passes throughARResults of the legislative elections in Morocco 2026: the advancement of authenticity and modernity and a strong return to justice and developmentJPAeon voluntarily recalls approximately 14,000 circulators due to risk of fireRUUS may ban diesel exportsRUThe Ministry of Finance of the Russian Federation proposed introducing a 30% tax on additional income for some mining and metals companiesPLDisciplinary proceedings in the Constitutional Tribunal. The case of judges refusing to adjudicateCNTainan Railway underground opens to traffic on October 18, 126-year-old historic station remains accessibleCNInternet celebrity "Jake Chili" was reportedly stabbed with a knife and sent to the hospital, suspected to be related to past cat abuse incidentsITThe Russian sabotage campaign and the drone risk in Europe
BackTreasury yields hold near 19-year highs amid strong economic data and rate hike expectations
Treasury yields hold near 19-year highs amid strong economic data and rate hike expectations
Developing
CNBC56 minutes agoBusiness1 min read

Treasury yields hold near 19-year highs amid strong economic data and rate hike expectations

Benchmark 10-year Treasury yield hovers near 5.12% following a global government bond selloff.

Quick Look

Treasury yields maintained upward momentum early Thursday, hovering near 19-year highs following strong U.S. business activity data that amplified expectations for further Federal Reserve interest rate hikes.

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

Treasury yields surged following robust U.S. business activity reports and hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve officials.

Font size

Treasury yields maintained their upward momentum early Thursday after hitting a 19-year high in the previous session, following a U.S. business activity print that amplified expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate hikes.

The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield was up one basis point to 5.124%, after reaching a 19-year high on Wednesday, jumping more than 13 basis points to 5.104%. Meanwhile, the 30-year Treasury bond was up over one basis point to 5.42%. The 2-year Treasury note yield was little changed at 4.895%.

It comes amid a global government bond selloff, with Japan's 10-year JGB yield rising 8 basis points to 3.055%, the highest since August 1996. U.K. Gilts and German Bunds also moved higher.

One basis point equals 0.01%, and yields and prices move in opposite directions.

Several factors drove the Treasury selloff, including stronger-than-expected U.S. economic activity, hawkish commentary from a Federal Reserve official, and high oil prices.

S&P Global's purchasing managers' index, released on Wednesday, showed that services PMI rose to 58.7 in September, the highest level in almost five years. Its manufacturing counterpart was up to 56.7, a level not seen in over four years.

The data drove expectations of more rate hikes, with traders last pricing in a 70% chance that the Federal Open Market Committee will increase rates again in its October meeting, per the CME Group's FedWatch tool.

Fed Governor Michael Barr said on Wednesday that "further policy adjustments" are likely to come to bring inflation down to target.

"The main driver was a strong batch of PMIs, along with a rebound in oil prices, which both led to mounting speculation about faster rate hikes," Deutsche Bank analysts said in a note Thursday on the Treasuries selloff.

"So that [PMI results] played into the narrative of resilient growth, which in turn would enable the Fed to keep hiking rates to deal with inflation," they added.

International benchmark Brent crude futures declined 0.54% at $103.66 a barrel early Thursday. U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures for November were down 0.6% to $92.68 per barrel.

Investors will await the weekly jobless claims and new home sales for August on Thursday as they look for further insights on the state of the U.S. economy.

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • Release of weekly jobless claims and new home sales data on Thursday

    Very likely · Within hours

Open Questions

  • Will the Federal Open Market Committee raise rates in October?
  • How will upcoming jobless claims impact market sentiment?

Related Topics

This article was originally published by CNBC.

Related Stories

The 12th Xinjiang Specialty Fruit Fair opens in Wensu County, Aksu
Business·

The 12th Xinjiang Specialty Fruit Fair opens in Wensu County, Aksu

The 12th Xinjiang Specialty Fruits (Aksu) Fair and the 3rd Apple Cultural Tourism Picking Season kicked off on the 24th in Wensu County, Aksu Prefecture. The event, with the theme of "Celebrating Harvest along the Silk Road, Fragrance of Xinjiang Fruits Entering Ten Thousands of Homes", focused on displaying the results of the local characteristic forest and fruit industry and releasing high-quality tourism routes.

中国新闻网
2 min read
The ninth national home event of the Chinese Farmers Harvest Festival kicked off in Zaoyang, Hubei, with Pinduoduo demonstrating its effectiveness in helping farmers in all aspects
Business·

The ninth national home event of the Chinese Farmers Harvest Festival kicked off in Zaoyang, Hubei, with Pinduoduo demonstrating its effectiveness in helping farmers in all aspects

On September 23, the ninth national home event of the Chinese Farmers’ Harvest Festival kicked off in Zaoyang City, Xiangyang, Hubei. As a representative of the e-commerce platform, Pinduoduo made an appearance at the event and focused on displaying the results of the "Duoduo Harvest Pavilion", consumption assistance to farmers, and technology to strengthen agriculture. It continued to use special support to activate urban and rural consumption vitality and help increase production and income in agricultural production areas across the country.

中国新闻网
8 min read
More on this topictreasury yields