AI-generated summary
Diesel prices have been rising due to global supply constraints and Middle East tensions. The US is considering various options toward Iran, including military action or economic pressure, while also addressing Ukrainian strikes on Russian refineries that worsen diesel shortages. Washington has tightened sanctions on Russia's energy sector.
US diesel prices have climbed to a new all-time high as disruptions to global fuel supplies and tensions in the Middle East continue to squeeze the market.
The national average reached $6.5107 per gallon ($1.72 per liter) on Monday, according to the American Automobile Association (AAA), up from $6.23 a week ago and $5.58 a month ago. Diesel now costs about 76% more than a year ago.
The global diesel shortage has been exacerbated by the US war with Iran and disruptions to energy flows through the Strait of Hormuz. Houthi advances along Yemen’s Red Sea coast have added further uncertainty, raising concerns over shipping through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait and Saudi oil exports.
Supply concerns have intensified as US President Donald Trump weighs his next steps toward Iran. Over the weekend, he said he was considering options ranging from military action to economic pressure or a deal, while signaling openness to meeting Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian during the UN General Assembly in New York.
Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps has warned that another US attack would prompt Tehran to use new weapons and expand the geographical scope of the conflict.
Trump has also pressed Vladimir Zelensky to halt Ukrainian strikes on Russian refineries, arguing that the attacks are worsening the global diesel shortage. On Monday, he again pointed to damage to Russian refining capacity, saying a number of facilities had been knocked out of operation.
At the same time, Washington has tightened sanctions on Moscow. Trump on Friday signed legislation targeting Russia’s energy and defense sectors and oil-shipping network while authorizing tariffs of up to 100% on major buyers of Russian oil and gas.
Diesel is crucial to the US economy, powering much of the country’s freight transport and farm machinery. Higher prices can therefore feed into the cost of transporting and producing goods, adding to inflationary pressure.
The surge comes as the Federal Reserve battles persistent inflation. Last week, it raised its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 3.75%-4%, its first increase since 2023. Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh said US inflation remains too high and has persisted for too long.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
US diesel prices will remain elevated or increase further if Middle East tensions escalate
Likely · Within weeks
Global diesel shortage will persist or worsen without resolution of shipping disruptions
Possible · Within months

Investment adviser and founder of the University of Finance, Yulia Kuznetsova, warned Russians about the risks of a free trial period in online services, including automatic debiting of funds after its end, and gave recommendations for protecting consumer rights, such as disabling auto-renewal, deleting payment data and sending a written refusal to use bank details.

Leading analyst at AMarkets Igor Rastorguev said that a bank deposit is the most reliable tool for creating a financial safety net due to predictability, protection through the insurance system and fixed income. He noted that after the Central Bank pause, the key rate remains at 14%, and average rates on short-term deposits reach 13.63–19%. The optimal volume of the cushion is expenses for 3–6 months; it is recommended to store funds in insured banks with diversification for amounts over 1.4 million rubles.

The crew of the Cameroon-flagged tanker UNITY, which was seized in the Indian port of Paradip due to a commercial dispute, did not receive wages for August, despite the insurance company paying off debts for the period from April 30. The seafarers, including 21 Russians and two foreigners, have debt obligations on loans that they cannot repay due to lack of payments. The ship owner ignores the crew's requests.

Kirill Dmitriev, head of the Russian Direct Investment Fund and special representative of the Russian President, said on social media X that copper has become the new gold after reaching an all-time high on the Comex price of $6.903 per pound. The rise in prices is due to the expectation of tariffs on imports of refined copper into the United States and a supply shortage. Since the beginning of the year, copper has risen in price by 17%.

Dmitry Makarov, strategist at SberInvestments, predicts a gradual decrease in the key rate and a moderate weakening of the ruble by 2027, with the expected dollar exchange rate in the range of 85–95 rubles, an average value of about 89–92 rubles, provided that the trade balance is maintained and stable oil prices.

A Vienna court ruled in absentia that Rasperia must pay Raiffeisen Bank International and Russia's Raiffeisenbank about 3.15 billion euros. The decision can be appealed within four weeks. If no appeal is filed, the RBI plans to seek permission from the Austrian financial regulator to recover the amount from Rasperia's frozen assets in Austria.