
PT bets on the fear of a Bolsonaro return, while Flávio Bolsonaro's campaign focuses on proposals and governability
AI-generated summary
The Brazilian electoral scenario is in the second round, with campaigns adjusting their narratives after the results of the first round.
President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) must reduce the space dedicated to defending his legacy and reinforce the strategy of fear and the consequences of the Bolsonaro family returning to the Planalto Palace.
The candidate went from the 47% obtained at the polls in the first round to 52% of the valid votes in the survey. Lula, who had 45% in the first round, appears with 48%.
Lula's campaign command assesses that the dispute "is not defined" given a technical draw.
Flávio Bolsonaro will work to expand his advantage and is betting on the support obtained this week. Lula's campaign, in turn, believes it can reverse the scenario and reach a numerical draw next week, with the intensification of actions in the Northeast and on social media.
In recent days, PT leaders in the Northeast have become part of the central core of the campaign. Among them are senator Camilo Santana (PT-CE) and the governor of Piauí, Rafael Fonteles (PT).
The assessment defended by this group is that Lula should reduce the space dedicated to the presentation of his legacy and explore more the fear that a possible election of Flávio Bolsonaro provokes in part of the electorate.
In recent days, pieces released by Lula's campaign on social media stated that a possible victory by Flávio Bolsonaro could lead to cuts in social programs. Part of this content was removed from the air as determined by the Electoral Court.
Flávio Bolsonaro's campaign, on the other hand, promises to dedicate electoral propaganda mainly to proposals. The internal assessment is that the strategy of talking about everyday problems worked in the first round.
The campaign also intends to respond to PT's accusations that social programs would suffer cuts in a possible government of the PL candidate.
At this point, the program must appeal to the government of former president Jair Bolsonaro and the increase in the benefit paid to low-income families on the eve of the 2022 election.
The campaign should also explore the new composition of Congress, which emerged from the polls, to defend the argument that Flávio would have better conditions for governance if elected.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Intensification of campaign actions in the Northeast by the PT.
Likely · Within weeks
President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) stated that the second round will be marked by intense debates and greater digital presence. During a walk in Ceilândia (DF), the candidate reinforced his social media strategy and criticized political opponents.

After the first round, Tarcísio de Freitas and Ricardo Nunes mobilize support for Flávio Bolsonaro in São Paulo. At the same time, the PT restarts Lula's campaign in the state, focusing on reversing its opponent's advantage in the country's largest electoral college.

Former governor Gladson Camelí lost the Senate race in Acre and will be without a mandate for the first time in 20 years. He came in third place with sub judice votes, behind Márcio Bittar and Mara Rocha.

Flávio Bolsonaro's campaign in the second round will prioritize cities with greater growth potential, intensifying street agendas and focusing on strategic locations in the five regions of the country.

The mayor of Campinas, Dário Saadi, announced his vote for Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) in the 2nd round, citing support from the Republicans and defending changes in the economy, while vice-mayor Wandão reaffirmed his support for Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT), asking for the participation of abstentions and blank/null voters in the 1st round to return Lula to the Presidency.

The Superior Electoral Court annulled Anthony Garotinho's votes in the election for governor of Rio, allowing Douglas Ruas, from PL, to surpass 50% of valid votes and be elected in the first round. The decision was unanimous regarding ineligibility, but divided on the destination of the votes. Eduardo Paes' coalition appealed to the STF, which rejected the request due to lack of competence, maintaining the retotalization for Saturday.