The United List electoral alliance leads in parliamentary elections in Latvia

In the parliamentary elections in Latvia, an EU and NATO country, there are signs of a clear victory for Prime Minister Andris Kulbergs' United List electoral alliance. The center-right group could expect 35.6 percent of the vote and become the strongest force in the new parliament in Riga, the Latvian radio and the Leta news agency reported after the polls closed. They referred to a joint post-election survey.

According to the forecast, the populist party Latvia comes in second place with 11.3 percent. They are followed in third place by the left-wing Progressives (11.1 percent) ahead of the populist Sovereign Power party (10.8 percent).

Of Kulberg's three coalition partners, only two make it into parliament: the national-conservative National Alliance (8.7 percent) and the liberal-conservative Jauna Vienotiba (6.7 percent). According to the post-election survey, a total of six parties could make it into the Saeima parliament. Difficult coalition negotiations are expected.

"We are Europe's external border, which must be strong"

The election was marked by concerns about possible Russian aggression. The Baltic states have been warning for months that Russia is carrying out hybrid attacks and acts of sabotage in Europe to weaken support for Ukraine and stoke fear. Western government officials, however, currently consider a direct Russian attack on NATO member Latvia to be unlikely. The government in Moscow rejected the allegations from the Baltics as unfounded.

When he cast his vote in the capital Riga, Prime Minister Kulbergs emphasized the security policy importance of the election. “We cannot be the weakest link. We have to be strong,” said the head of government. The entire eastern flank must show unity. "That's what we strive for. We are Europe's external border, which must be strong."

In addition, socio-political and economic issues also played a major role in the election campaign. Since Latvia is investing heavily in its security, there is a lack of money elsewhere. The health system is suffering, emigration and aging are a problem. Many people complain about high prices and low salaries, and the economy is stalling.

Post-election surveys not always reliable

For the forecast, almost 6,500 voters were asked about their vote. However, the results should be treated with caution: the post-election survey did not always prove to be reliable in previous elections. The first official election results are expected for Sunday.