
International observers and business leaders express doubt that a Democratic-controlled Congress will significantly alter President Trump's trade, immigration, and foreign policies.
Following US midterm elections where Democrats gained control of Congress, international observers and business leaders remain skeptical that the shift will reverse President Trump's trade wars, immigration policies, or foreign relations, citing deep-seated distrust.
AI-generated summary
The US midterm elections resulted in the Democratic Party gaining control of both houses of Congress, challenging the administration of President Donald Trump.
The London startup founder was among the wave around the Trump-weary world awakening to the stunning news that Americans had sharply rejected President Donald Trump's fist-in-the-eye stewardship of the United States that had started a war with Iran, forged no peace in Ukraine or the Mideast and made gas and food so expensive.
Voters, Reeve saw online, had flipped control of both houses of Congress, handing the power to check the president to his rival Democrats. American democracy, 250 years on, had survived the Trump era.
But a deep and profound distrust of the United States had survived the vote, too. And from national leaders to aspiring American immigrants, no one seemed confident that change was afoot.
“What everybody’s learned,” Reeve, 29, the husband of a Ukrainian, said a day later in an interview, “is that America’s system does allow for these wild swings. We all know, now, that America has an ability to rotate on a dime and spit in our faces.”
Interviews by The Associated Press around the world since the vote revealed a sense that “one election alone does not restore anything,” as Kim So-jung, 49, an office worker in Yongin, South Korea, put it. “We have to see what they actually do, and see that they are doing something different to gain at least a little trust back.”
That 77 million Americans voted to elect Trump to a second term, along with the administration's combative conduct on his tariff war, Israel's conduct in Gaza, immigration and Iran, had already shaken trust in America around the world.
By the time Americans awakened Wednesday, global leaders and regular people from Europe to Australia had moved beyond the “wow” to a reckoning with the reality that Trump still retains enormous powers.
“Quite frankly, Trump has largely governed without Congress for the past two years. Why should that change now?" German Chancellor Friedrich Merz said a few hours after voters flipped control of the House and Senate.
Trump's apparent detachment from the results and his focus on building projects in the days before and after the drubbing did little to calm speculation about how he governs. He could dissociate completely, some observers said. Or he could lean into foreign policy and become even less predictable.
"For the country's allies, the question isn't whether America is back,” Ian Bremmer, president and founder of the Eurasian Group, wrote in Think China. “It's back to what — and for how long?”
The stunning midterm elections were not enough to reverse policies that have strained economies and finances and put dreams of making it in America on hold for many across the globe.
Trump's tariff war has roiled markets and economies. He had canceled humanitarian aid for millions and upended the world's postwar order. Under Trump, American immigration policy turned violent and deadly — and makes the US look to many like a place better avoided.
“I don’t think all is forgiven,” ReadtheLine.ca Editor Jen Gerson said during an online discussion Thursday. “The President’s hold on power over two terms is — and ought to remain — a warning sign to Canada and to all of America’s allies.”
“For me, regaining trust means seeing America consistently respect democratic institutions, the rule of law and its international partners,” Aditya Surya, 40, of Yogyakarta, Indonesia, told the AP. “The election is a good start, but what happens next matters a lot more."
Many eyes are trained on whether the Democrats can reverse Trump's costly tariff regime as the incoming majority has promised in its 100 days agenda — and whether Trump accepts or vetoes any such changes.
Hamish McIntyre, an Australian beef producer, suspects not. With a Southern Hemisphere spring harvest underway in parts of Australia, farmers are grappling with diesel prices inflated by the Iran war, contributing to what the government forecasts will be a 39% drop in large farm profits.
“The midterm result is unlikely, in itself, to fundamentally change the direction of US tariff policy,” said McIntyre, president of the National Farmers' Federation agricultural advocacy group. The election, he added, does not “prevent the administration from continuing to pursue its broader trade agenda.”
“Let us not be naive,” Slatkine said. "The ‘America First’ concept is not going to be abandoned anytime soon, and I doubt the new majority will reverse all the decisions made by the president.”
Hong Kong businessman Danny Lau gained some hope from the elections. More than 30% of the orders received by his aluminum factory in the southern Chinese city of Dongguan come from American clients. But his business was paying a tariff of nearly 81%.
“Trump started the tariff war,” Lau said. “If he loses his influence, would that help at all on the tariff front? At the very least, hopefully he won't raise them any further.”
Michael Lu, CEO of gift-box producer Brothersbox in southern China, said he believed political tensions remain elevated, particularly after the US‘s earlier trade war against China. But no matter who won the midterms, he didn't expect drastic changes in Washington's overall stance against China. The US accounts for roughly 20% of Lu's company’s business.
The political shear in the US doesn't change the fact that “continuing to strengthen the alliance and economic relations with the U.S. is essential for Japan,” said Yoshinobu Tsutsui, chairman of Keidanren, the Japan Business Federation, a lobby group that represents 1,500 companies. He said he expects Trump to come out even stronger, not weaker, with the Democrats in control of Congress.
Ambika, an Indian citizen who asked to be identified only by her last name, works in IT in America and has long yearned to make America her permanent home. But Trump's immigration crackdown and latest green card restrictions have given her pause.
“Recent visa policy changes have left me worried,” she said this week while visiting family in India. “I don't know if the the midterm results would lead to any policy change that could benefit those of us who want to move to the US.”
There's no more accurate look at how America is changing than US elections. And these midterms produced the biggest shift in political power since the post-Watergate election of 1974.
“Time and again, we are presented with these chances for change, only for greed to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory,” UK-based commentator Martin McSweeney wrote on his “Truth Matters” Substack at 5am the day after the election. “Will this time be different? That's up to the American people, and that makes me very nervous given past experience.”
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Democrats will attempt to address the tariff regime within their 100-day agenda.
Likely · Within months

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