Possible conflict scenarios between Türkiye and Greece from Greek media: 'Ankara also counts our resistance'

MİLLİYET.COM.TR / A possible crisis between Greece and Türkiye has become a matter of discussion again. In a remarkable podcast published in the Greek media, it was questioned how prepared Athens was for a possible conflict, and it was emphasized that the real concern was how the war would end rather than how it would start.

'THERE WILL BE NO CONTROLLED TENSION FOR A FEW HOURS'

Geopolitico.gr editor-in-chief Christos Konstantinidis said in the podcast where he discussed Türkiye-Greece relations that a possible conflict should not be seen as a controlled tension of "a few hours". Konstantinidis stated that there was no guarantee that the conflict would remain limited after the first shot was fired and there were casualties.

'IT MAY EVOLVE INTO A WAR OF ATTRIBUTATION'

According to Konstantinidis, a conflict that might start in the Aegean could turn into a much longer-lasting struggle with high-intensity air operations. While the possibility of the scenario evolving into a war of attrition lasting weeks or even months was emphasized, it was stated that in such a situation, not only warplanes and frigates, but the entire capacity of the countries would be tested.

Ammunition stocks, re-usability of damaged military elements, operation of ports and airports, energy security, telecommunications infrastructure and reserve forces were listed among the critical elements of a possible long-term conflict.

However, the most striking part of the Greek analysis was the claim made about what Ankara was pursuing.

'ANKARA DOESN'T JUST COUNT OUR WEAPONS'

In the analysis, it was claimed that Turkey was not content with following the Rafale warplanes, frigates and new weapon systems purchased by Greece, and it was stated that "Ankara does not only count our weapons. It also counts our resistance and waits for us to make a mistake."

12 nautical miles and the aegean scenario

In the podcast, Turkey's stance on 12 nautical miles was also discussed within the scope of possible war scenarios, and it was claimed that "A conflict that may occur in the Aegean may not remain a short-term tension and the parties may quickly be dragged into a wider struggle."

'1.8 MILLION UAV POOL'

In the Greek analysis, Turkey's capacity in the field of unmanned aerial vehicles was also discussed as a separate heading.

It was stated that Turkey not only produces UAVs, but also develops a comprehensive military and industrial culture around training, knowledge and unmanned systems by creating a large operator pool.

While the analysis claimed that there is a pool of more than 1.8 million licensed unmanned aerial vehicles in Turkey, it was stated that Greece still needs a comprehensive national program that will bring together the Armed Forces, reserve forces, universities, Greek companies and certified operators.

REGIONAL ACCOUNTS OF ATHENS

In the podcast, not only the Türkiye-Greece line but also the broader strategic balances in the region were discussed.

While the strategic cooperation between Greece, the Greek Cypriot Administration of Southern Cyprus (GCASC) and Israel and the rapprochement with India were evaluated, the impact of the IMEC economic corridor on regional balances was also discussed.

It was stated that the developments in Pakistan, Syria and Iraq were among the factors that could affect the regional dimension of a possible crisis between Türkiye and Greece.

'GREAT NATIONAL CRISIS'

In the analysis in the Greek media, attention was turned not only to the preparations on the front, but also to the domestic front. It was emphasized that the critical infrastructure in the country should be protected and the entire society should be prepared for a major national crisis.

In the analysis, it was emphasized that deterrence cannot be built only with arms contracts and expensive missiles. A functioning state mechanism, a resilient society, trained reserve forces and political leadership that can act decisively in times of crisis are also required.

'ARE WE READY TO FACE IT?'