
台灣整合防災工程技術顧問公司總監賈新興表示,中秋連假期間全台受秋老虎影響天氣晴朗穩定,適合賞月;舒力基颱風最新預測顯示25至26日北轉朝琉球移動機率提高,27至29日可能影響沖繩;同時提醒赴北海道賞楓旅遊者注意保暖。
AI-generated summary
中秋節與教師節連假即將來臨,台灣目前受秋老虎天氣型態影響,同時熱帶氣旋活動頻繁。
中秋連假即將開始,對此,台灣整合防災工程技術顧問公司總監賈新興表示,明天就是中秋及教師節 4 天連假了!臺灣受「秋老虎」籠罩,全臺天氣晴朗穩定好賞月;舒力基颱風最新預測將在 25 至 26 日北轉朝琉球移動的機率提高,27 至 29 日影響沖繩一帶!北海道賞楓這幾天最美!
賈新興在臉書PO文表示, 明天就是中秋及教師節 4 天連假了!臺灣受「秋老虎」籠罩,全臺天氣晴朗穩定好賞月;舒力基颱風最新預測將在 25 至 26 日北轉朝琉球移動的機率提高,27 至 29 日影響沖繩一帶!北海道賞楓這幾天最美!臺灣近期與中秋連假,未來一週各地早晚偏涼,僅午後有零星短暫陣雨,中南部日夜溫差稍大,早出晚歸多帶一件薄外套。
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賈新興指出,中秋連假(9/25-9/28)受秋老虎型態影響,全臺天氣以穩定晴朗為主,中午體感微熱、紫外線稍強,山區午後有零星短暫雨;夜間雲量少,極度適合戶外賞月烤肉!舒力基颱風路徑轉向(27 至 29 日影響琉球群島),最新資料顯示,舒力基颱風在 25 日至 26 日有北轉並朝琉球群島移動的趨勢。
賈新興預估在 27 日至 29 日有影響琉球群島(沖繩地區)的機率!連假期間預計飛往沖繩度假的朋友,請務必密切留意航空公司航班異動與當地風雨資訊,10月初洋面活躍(彩雲生成 ✕ 跨界颱風移入),彩雲颱風機率,模式顯示在 10 月 2 日至 3 日,洋面有另一個颱風「彩雲」生成的機率;跨界颱風觀察:緊接著在 10 月 3 日至 4 日,需持續觀察是否有「跨界颱風」自中太平洋移入西北太平洋!10 月初秋颱環境再度變得複雜,需持續關注。
賈新興提醒,中秋出國賞楓情報(北海道大雪山脈),想趁連假追第一波日本紅葉的朋友看過來!北海道大雪山脈賞楓的最佳時刻正是 9 月 25 日至 27 日!山區氣溫顯著偏低,提醒前往朝聖的旅人務必備妥保暖禦寒衣物。
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
舒力基颱風將在25至26日北轉並朝琉球群島移動
Likely · Within days
舒力基颱風將在27至29日影響琉球群島(沖繩地區)
Possible · Within days
10月2日至3日洋面有彩雲颱風生成的機率
Possible · Within weeks

The Central Meteorological Administration forecasts that there will be sporadic short-lived showers in the north, northeast and east from tonight to tomorrow. The path of mild typhoon "Shuliki" will become more and more northerly, and its impact on Taiwan will be greatly reduced. The chance of issuing a maritime typhoon warning is very small. From the second day of the holiday to the end of the holiday, the weather was good everywhere, with only sporadic brief rains in the mountainous areas in the afternoon.

The forecast for Typhoon Shuliki shows that it will turn northward off the eastern coast of Taiwan, which will have no impact on Taiwan's weather. On the contrary, because the peripheral downdraft makes the weather more stable, there is no need to worry about typhoon interference during the Mid-Autumn Festival holiday. However, the typhoon will approach Ryukyu next Sunday and may bring wind and rain, with limited impact on Kanto, Japan.

Typhoon Shuliji is expected to turn north early, arrive in Taiwan's southeastern waters over the weekend, then turn northeast and leave. It will have limited impact on Taiwan's land. However, during the Mid-Autumn Festival holiday, you need to pay attention to the long waves and astronomical tides outside the typhoon, and you still need to pay special attention to safety during beach activities.

The Central Weather Bureau predicts that the sky will mostly be clear or cloudy at night during Taiwan's Mid-Autumn Festival, with the moon visible. Only the mountainous areas in the northern part of Chiayi County may be affected. Although Tropical Storm Shuliki is expected to approach Taiwan over the weekend and bring localized showers, it will not affect the Mid-Autumn Festival moon viewing. Forecasts show that temperatures will rise in many places in Taiwan in the next few days, with large temperature differences between day and night in some areas.

Tropical Depression TD29 is expected to intensify into Typhoon Shuliji today and tomorrow. The current model predictions are divided into two directions: turning north early or continuing westward. If it moves westward and approaches Taiwan, it may have the greatest impact around next Tuesday (29th). Meteorological experts point out that the later development is full of uncertainty.

The Mid-Autumn Festival holiday is approaching. The Meteorological Administration has forecast that the weather will be stable from cloudy to sunny before the weekend, and there is a high chance of enjoying the moon on Mid-Autumn Festival night. Tropical depression TD29 is about 2,000 kilometers away from Taiwan. It is expected to strengthen into a light platform tomorrow and develop into a central Taiwan on Saturday. It may affect the sea surface in eastern Taiwan next Monday and Tuesday, bringing local showers to the north of Taoyuan and Yilan. Pay attention to the accumulation of water during long waves and spring tides.