Tropical Depression TD29 is expected to intensify into Typhoon Shuliji, but there are still differences in the path

At present, various models still have different opinions. They can be roughly divided into two main directions: "turn north early" and "continue to move westward", which shows that Shuliji's later period is full of uncertainty. (Picture taken from Facebook "Taiwan Typhoon Forum | Weather Emergency")

Tropical Depression TD29 is 2,000 kilometers southeast and east of Eluanbi this morning (23rd), moving northwest and west at a speed of 18 rpm and 23 kilometers per hour. It is expected to intensify into Typhoon Shuliji today and tomorrow. The current path forecast is still divided into two groups: "turn north early" and "continue to move westward". If it moves westward and approaches Taiwan next Tuesday (29th), it may have the greatest impact.

Meteorology expert "Taiwan Typhoon Forum | Weather Emergency" pointed out that Typhoon Shuliji will form within 24 hours. In the future, the favorable development of high sea temperature, high sea water enthalpy and weak vertical wind shear will, if integrated smoothly, be steadily strengthened, with the peak intensity at least reaching the front stage of a moderate typhoon. However, the dry air of the subtropical high pressure is still a concern for the development of typhoons.

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As the Pacific high pressure is strengthening and extending westward, Junshuliki will generally move northwest and west along the south side of the high pressure in the next three days, arriving in the waters east of Taiwan and south of Okinawa, Japan on Saturday (26th). At this time, Junshuliki has also reached the edge of the high pressure. Turning north or continuing westward still depends on the strength of the high pressure and its sphere of influence.

At present, various models still have different opinions. They can be roughly divided into two main directions: "turn north early" and "continue to move westward", which shows that the later period is full of uncertainty.

As the time sequence has gradually entered autumn, systems such as the northern high-altitude trough line have begun to become more active. Once they interact with the Pacific high pressure, the quasi-Shuriki path will become more complicated, so it will still take a few days to observe.

The "Typhoon Forum" pointed out that Junshuliji is still far away from Taiwan. At this stage, it cannot be determined whether it will directly affect Taiwan. However, if it will approach or affect Taiwan, it will probably fall around next Tuesday (29th). People should pay attention to the latest developments of typhoons.