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BackPolls show that Shen Boyang is only 1.2 percentage points behind Jiang Wanan. The blue camp questions the source of funds.
Polls show that Shen Boyang is only 1.2 percentage points behind Jiang Wanan. The blue camp questions the source of funds.
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自由时报1 hour agoPolitics1 min readChinaView original

Polls show that Shen Boyang is only 1.2 percentage points behind Jiang Wanan. The blue camp questions the source of funds.

Quick Look

  • Polling expert Dai Lian released a poll for the Taipei mayoral election.
  • Democratic Progressive Party candidate Shen Boyang was only 1.2 percentage points behind the current mayor Chiang Wanan.
  • The Ku Kuan Min Foundation's Facebook fan page posted an article satirizing the Blue Camp for questioning the accuracy and funding sources of the polls, and cited historical cases to prove the credibility of the polls.

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

The Taipei mayoral election is about to take place. The Democratic Progressive Party has nominated Shen Boyang to run, and the current mayor Chiang Wanan is seeking re-election. Opinion polls have become an important indicator of election sentiment.

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Polling expert Dai Lian released a poll for the Taipei mayoral election yesterday. DPP Taipei mayoral candidate Shen Boyang was only 1.2 percentage points behind Taipei Mayor Chiang Wanan (see picture). (File photo)

The People's Association and polling expert Dai Li'an released a poll for the Taipei mayoral election yesterday (22nd). The Democratic Progressive Party's Taipei mayoral candidate Shen Boyang was only 1.2 percentage points behind Taipei Mayor Chiang Wanan. As soon as the news came out, people in the blue camp raised questions. The "Koo Kuan Min Foundation" Facebook fan page posted a satirical post. The blue camp suddenly said that there was a problem with the source of funds. Some people said that Shen Boyang should resign as a legislator if he is "stable". The party was so collapsed. The post also mentioned, "Jiang Wanan, stop laughing. Poll numbers are like DNA and cannot lie. If you don't believe it, you can go back and ask your father."

The Facebook fan page "Ku Kuan Min Foundation" issued an article pointing out that whether the polls are accurate or not, history will speak for itself! As soon as the poll with a gap of 1.2% was released, the reaction of the blue camp was very interesting. They suddenly said that there was a problem with the source of funds. Some people said that Shen Boyang should resign as a legislator if he is "stable". The party was so collapsed.

Please read on...

The "Ku Kuanmin Foundation" stated that Dai Li'an's polls were inaccurate. Huang Weihan gave a reference case: in the third district of Bei City in 2008, the polls at that time predicted that Jiang Xiaoyan would get 61.5% of the votes and Guo Zhengliang 38.5%. The final results were that Jiang Xiaoyan would get 60.3% of the votes and Guo Zhengliang 38.4%, which was an almost perfect hit.

The "Ku Kuanmin Foundation" bluntly said, Jiang Wanan, stop laughing. Poll numbers are like DNA and cannot lie. If you don't believe it, you can go back and ask your father.

No need to draw, no need to grab. Now use the APP to read the news. You are guaranteed to win every day. Click me to download the APP. Click me to see the event details.

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • Shen Boyang will further narrow the gap with Jiang Wanan in subsequent polls

    Possible · Within weeks

Open Questions

  • What is the sample size and sampling method for this poll?
  • Does the Ku Kuan Min Foundation have a cooperative relationship with polling expert Dai Li'an?
  • What is the specific basis for the Blue Camp to question the source of poll funding?

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This article was originally published by 自由时报.

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