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BackSu Qiaohui leads Li Sichuan by 13.1%. Li Zhenghao reminds: 1128 people are going to vote!
Su Qiaohui leads Li Sichuan by 13.1%. Li Zhenghao reminds: 1128 people are going to vote!
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自由时报1 hour agoPolitics2 min readChinaView original

Su Qiaohui leads Li Sichuan by 13.1%. Li Zhenghao reminds: 1128 people are going to vote!

New Taipei mayor electionSu QiaohuiLi Sichuan

Quick Look

  • Polling expert Dai Lian released the latest poll on the New Taipei mayoral election.
  • DPP candidate Su Qiaohui's support was 43.1%, leading KMT candidate Li Sichuan by 30.0%.
  • The gap between the two sides reached 13.1 percentage points.

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

The New Taipei City mayoral election is one of the important local elections in Taiwan, with the Democratic Progressive Party and the Kuomintang as the main competing forces. The Dai Lian poll was commissioned by the Believers Association, and Beacon Market Research was responsible for conducting the telephone interviews.

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Polling expert Dai Lian released the latest poll on the New Taipei City mayoral election today (13th). Su Qiaohui, the New Taipei mayor candidate of the Democratic Progressive Party, has 43.1% support, leading the KMT candidate Li Sichuan with 30.0%. The gap between the two sides is as high as 13.1 percentage points. Media person Li Zhenghao also reminded this, I believe everyone is very excited, but if these support levels are not converted into votes, they will always be numbers.

Li Zhenghao said that Taichung mayor candidate He Xinchun has caught up to less than 2 percentage points, and Su Qiaohui has completely widened the gap. As for Shen Boyang, he believes that there will be big surprises in Daley's poll at the end of the month. Everyone, including him, is very excited.

Please read on...

However, he also wanted to remind: "If these support levels are not converted into votes, they will always be numbers. 1,128 are going to vote, and we have to help canvass votes. The rest will be done after the votes are cast."

Many netizens also left messages in agreement: "The most important thing is to vote, the numbers are all false!", "The spillover effect of ocean currents is spreading...", "The votes are in, keep moving forward calmly.", "You must go out to vote for it to count!", "It can be seen that it is completely consistent with Dan Houzhi's statement of forgetting to turn off the microphone, but in the end the vote still has to be cast in order for it to count..."

This poll was entrusted by the Trustees Association to Mr. Dai Li'an to be responsible for the questionnaire design and analysis, and Beacon Market Research Company conducted the telephone interview. From October 6 to October 8, the survey targets were people registered in New Taipei City and over the age of 20. 1,073 people were successfully interviewed (750 people on residential phones and 323 on mobile phones). The maximum sampling error of the combined sample at a reliability level of 95% was ±3.0%.

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • Su Qiaohui has a greater chance of winning the election

    Likely · Within weeks

  • Election Day turnout will be key factor

    Likely · Within days

Open Questions

  • Can Su Qiaohui's lead translate into actual votes?
  • Can Li Sichuan narrow the gap in the remaining time?
  • How much influence do other potential candidates have on the election?

Related Topics

New Taipei mayor election
PeopleDai LianSu QiaohuiLi SichuanLi Zhenghao
OrganizationsDemocratic Progressive PartyKuomintangAssociation of believersBeacon Market Research
PlacesNew Taipei CityTaichung City
TopicsSu QiaohuiLi SichuanDelian Pollsupportvote
This article was originally published by 自由时报.

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