
沈有忠表示美中戰略競爭結構等三不變,並預判北京將持續散布疑美論與棄台論
陸委會副主委沈有忠於座談會表示,美中台情勢維持「三個不變」,並預判北京將利用川習會扭曲二戰歷史並加強認知戰,持續散布疑美論與棄台論,可能間接影響台灣11月地方選舉。
AI-generated summary
川習二會後,台灣官方針對美中台局勢及中共可能的認知戰手法進行評估與說明。
川習二會落幕,陸委會副主委沈有忠今(27)日於「習近平訪美後的美中台關係」座談會表示,美中台情勢發展仍維持「三個不變」;針對北京當局刻意利用川習會扭曲二戰歷史、加強認知戰,政府也預判,未來中共會持續利用不同機會散布「疑美論」、「棄台論」,或發散「美中對二戰共同敘事」氣氛,不排除間接影響台灣11月即將舉行的地方選舉。
沈有忠指出,美中台「三個不變」包含「美中戰略競爭的結構不變」、「美國對台政策不變」,與「台、美與國際社會共同維持台海和平現狀的立場不變」。
沈有忠表示,就美中競爭結構不變而言,本次「川習會」雖然有很高規格的排場和接待,但目前就雙方公布的成果看來,具體的突破相當有限。雙方對於AI、稀土管制、科技競爭等議題來說,沒有取得突破性進展。美中雖藉由一些對話機制進行接觸,研判雙方仍將持續「鬥而不破」的交鋒,政府也會保持密切關注、審慎應處。
其次是美國對台政策維持不變。沈有忠強調,在台海議題上,中方雖表述其一貫主張,但美方多位官員例如國務卿魯比歐(Marco Rubio)在會前多次重申美國對台政策不變。更具代表性的像是美國駐中大使龐德偉(David Perdue),清楚表述川普總統從未改變過美國的立場,完全支持台灣關係法、美中三公報及對台六項保證,並強調對台政策不會受伊朗情勢影響。這顯示出美國的對台政策並沒有在中方壓力下有所退讓。
沈有忠指出,第三是台、美與國際社會共同維持台海和平現狀的立場不變。此間許多跨國聲明或重要的國際論述都表達反對單方面改變台海現狀,並重申對台海和平穩定的關切。相信美國與國際社會對台海和平現狀支持的立場,仍舊清晰,也不會改變。
沈有忠重申,本次北京當局刻意利用川習會,對美國宣傳「台獨」危害「台海和平穩定」、「破壞美中戰略穩定」、甚至扭曲二戰歷史,誆稱中共與美國是盟友的錯誤敘事,並對此加強認知戰。政府也預判,未來中共仍會與若干協力者利用不同機會持續散布「疑美論」、「棄台論」,營造「和、戰選擇」的氛圍,或是發散「美中對二戰共同敘事」的氣氛。也不排除間接影響台灣11月即將舉行的地方選舉。
沈有忠在致詞最後指出,面對近年中共升高對台複合性施壓,政府的兩岸政策立場就是堅定維持兩岸現狀,也呼籲北京當局,放棄單方面、甚至以武力改變現狀的霸權心態,在對等尊嚴前提下,不預設立場與我民選政府對話、化解分歧,這也是國際社會的共同期待。政府也將持續強化自我防衛能力,與美國等友盟國家深化溝通合作,共同維護台海及區域和平穩定。
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
中共將持續散布疑美論與棄台論
Likely · Within months

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