
The Oil and Gas Cluster Association and the Upright company published a study on personnel shortages at the TNF 2026 forum
AI-generated summary
The report is a continuation of analytical work begun in 2025. The study combines statistics, recruiting data and machine learning methods.
TYUMEN, September 22 – RIA Novosti. The analytical report "Map of the Labor Market in the Oil and Gas Industry of the Russian Federation 2026", prepared by the Oil and Gas Cluster Association and the consulting company Upright, was presented at the site of the International Industrial and Economic Forum TNF 2026 in Tyumen.
The study “Labor Market Map of the Oil and Gas Industry of the Russian Federation 2026” is a continuation of the analytical work begun in 2025 and a tool that helps the industry more accurately see the personnel situation, assess the cost of competencies and make decisions based on data.
“The TNF project and the Upright company combines official statistics, recruiting market data, employer survey results and machine learning methods to move from description to forecast and give business, government and educational organizations practical guidelines until 2030,” the report quotes the words of the CEO of the Oil and Gas Cluster Association, Alexander Sakevich.
The report provides an analysis of the labor market, as well as information about which competencies are becoming critical, how labor productivity is changing in oilfield services and related segments, provides examples of resolving personnel issues in companies and methods aimed at stabilizing the situation. According to Sakevich, the study is significant both for fuel and energy enterprises and for the personnel training system on which the technological development of the industry depends.
The report shows that the oil and gas industry currently employs 1.124 million people. The largest segments in terms of numbers are petrochemicals and oil services - together they provide more than 60% of the industry’s employment and form the bulk of personnel demand. The current staffing shortage is 27 thousand people.
Forecast data for the period up to 2030 indicate a systemic deterioration in staffing for most engineering and blue-collar professions; by 2030, a number of professions may be in a zone of sustained shortage. Thus, the industry is already short of welders for pipelines and tank equipment. With today's shortage of 15.1%, by 2030 the labor market will face a shortage of more than 27% of such specialists. Hydraulic fracturing operators, electricians, mining engineers, and ERBS drillers are forecast to reach a shortage level of 15-21%, which will create direct restrictions on production programs.
According to the compilers of the “Labor Market Map of the Oil and Gas Industry of the Russian Federation 2026”, the main methods of solving growing personnel problems should be the transformation of the education system through partnerships between business and universities, increasing the attractiveness of the rotational format and increasing the digitalization of the industry.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
The shortage of pipeline welders will increase to 27% by 2030.
Likely · Within years

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