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Back美联储时隔三年多重启加息 上调25个基点至3.75%-4%
美联储时隔三年多重启加息 上调25个基点至3.75%-4%
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中国新闻网1 hour agoBusiness2 min readChinaView translation

美联储时隔三年多重启加息 上调25个基点至3.75%-4%

Quick Look

美联储宣布将联邦基金利率目标区间上调25个基点至3.75%-4%,为2023年7月以来首次加息。声明称美国经济活动稳健扩张,通胀率仍处于高位,此次行动有助于更快实现2%通胀目标。利率点阵图显示除主席沃什外其他官员预计利率中值到2026年年末将升至4.1%并维持至2027年年末。沃什在记者会上表示将根据经济数据变化作出评估,强调趋势而非单个数据的重要性。美股三大指数在其讲话期间回吐涨幅并收跌,市场认为其鹰派语气预示金融环境将进一步收紧。特朗普再次在社交媒体呼吁降息,认为联邦基金利率应在1%或更低。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

美联储自2023年7月以来一直维持利率不变,此次为时隔三年多的首次加息。市场普遍预期此次加息25个基点,因通胀率虽有所回落但仍高于2%目标。美联储此前曾表示将采取数据依赖的方式调整政策。

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中新社纽约9月16日电 (记者 王帆)美国联邦储备委员会16日宣布,将联邦基金利率目标区间上调25个基点到3.75%至4%之间的水平。这是美联储自2023年7月以来首次加息,符合市场普遍预期。

美联储在为期两天的货币政策例会后发表一致通过的声明称,为支持美联储的双重使命,决定将联邦基金利率目标区间上调25个基点,并将继续奉行维持银行体系充裕准备金的政策。

声明称,美国经济活动正稳健扩张。尽管地缘政治等因素带来的不确定性依然高企,国内消费仍保持韧性。生产率增长强劲,资本投资活跃。就业增长与劳动力增长保持同步,失业率变化不大。通胀率仍处于高位。本次政策行动将有助于更快实现美联储设定的2%通胀目标。美联储将致力于实现价格稳定。

在当天公布的经济预测概要中,利率点阵图显示,除美联储主席沃什以外的其他官员预计,联邦基金利率中值到2026年年末将升至4.1%,并维持到2027年年末,暗示今年年内可能还将加息一次,而明年则可能不会进一步加息。

沃什在货币政策例会后的记者会上表示,他不会提供前瞻指引,而是将根据经济数据的变化和市场传递的信息来作出评估。单个数据往往“充满噪音”,趋势才最重要。美国通胀率已连续五年多高于目标水平,当前,美联储的首要任务是实现价格稳定。

沃什表示,很难将眼下的金融状况描述为具有限制性。美联储将以“更及时的节奏”来实现价格稳定目标,此次“撤回”部分宽松政策是迈出的重要一步。只有实现价格稳定,经济才能保持更持久的稳健增长。

当天,美国股市三大指数在沃什讲话期间回吐日内涨幅,并最终收跌。《华尔街日报》报道说,沃什的“鹰派语气”令投资者改变预期,认为美联储将推动金融环境进一步收紧。彭博社报道说,此次加息加剧了市场对通胀压力可能扩大的担忧,人们认为通胀压力或许已不再只是关税和伊朗战事推高能源价格造成的暂时性现象。

在美联储时隔三年多重启加息后,美国总统特朗普再次在社交媒体发文呼吁降息。他表示,联邦基金利率“应该在1%,或者更低”,并用大写字母强调,“降低美国的利率,要快”。(完)

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 美联储将在今年内再次加息一次

    Possible · Within months

  • 美联储将在2027年之前维持利率在当前水平或略高水平

    Likely · Within years

Open Questions

  • 美联储是否会在今年内再次加息?
  • 特朗普的降息呼吁是否会影响美联储的独立性?
  • 此次加息对美国经济增长和就业的具体影响是什么?

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This article was originally published by 中国新闻网.

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