Starting in 2019, Su Qi, the secretary-general of the National Security Council during the Ma Ying-jeou period, has become the main promoter of the blue camp's suspicion of America. He has repeatedly emphasized two things: "The US military is unable to interfere with mainland China's military reunification" and "the United States will not send troops for Taiwan." These two have also become the core arguments of Taiwan's suspicion of America.
◆In 2019, Su Qi: "The United States will lose 100% of the time"
Su Qi, secretary-general of the National Security Council during the Ma Ying-jeou period, has become the main promoter of the blue camp’s anti-American theory since 2019. Su Qi pointed out that the United States conducted closed-door war games in response to the Sino-US war. "The United States conducted war games 18 times and lost 18 times." He asserted that the U.S. military's anti-access capabilities have been weakened. If a war breaks out with the mainland, "the United States will lose 100% of the time." The US president's staff will never suggest a war with the mainland.
◆In 2020, Su Qi: "The United States will never come to save Taiwan."
Su Qi asserted that "in the event of a war between the two sides of the Taiwan Strait, the United States will never come to rescue Taiwan." He further cited the views of senior U.S. officials, saying that Taiwan's defense strength is weak and internally divided. The People's Liberation Army may create a fait accompli in a very short period of time, and the U.S. military will have no time to respond.
◆In 2022, Su Qi: "The United States will definitely lose in the war."
Su Qi said that the Chinese Communist Party's Dongfeng series of missiles have made the Western Pacific a restricted area for US warships. Multiple closed-door war games conducted by the Pentagon have shown that regardless of the combat script, the US military will lose unless nuclear weapons are used. He bluntly stated that the next few years will be a "window of opportunity" for the Chinese Communist Party to invade Taiwan, while the US military is facing a window of military transformation and will be unable to counterattack.
◆In 2026, Su Qi: "The United States has no intention and is unable to save Taiwan."
Su Qi pointed out that the possibility of U.S. arms sales to Taiwan is "very, very low." Whether before or after the meeting between the Chinese and U.S. presidents, "as long as there are arms sales, I think the mainland will turn its back." He said that in the past, the United States was "unable to save Taiwan," but now the Trump administration is "unintentional and unable to save Taiwan."
But if you compare Su Qi's remarks before and after, you will find that although the theory of doubting beauty is consistent, the inconsistency is very serious.
Su Qi believes that the U.S. military has been surpassed by the People's Liberation Army since 2015 and is unable to protect Taiwan. He even asserted in 2019 that "the U.S. military will lose." So today, after the PLA has hypersonic missiles and massive shipbuilding, the gap between the U.S. military and the People's Liberation Army should be getting wider and wider.
Su Qi also supported Ma Ying-jeou's argument in 2020 that the "first battle will be the final battle" for the Communist army to attack Taiwan. That is, once the CCP takes action, it will end the war in a very short time, leaving Taiwan with no chance to wait for the US military to rush to help.
At that time, Su Qi said that if a cross-strait war breaks out, "Taiwan will surrender in one day." Then as the People's Liberation Army improves and "the U.S. military will never dare to save Taiwan," in the future, wouldn't it be possible for Taiwan to surrender in a few hours? So why doesn't Xi Jinping dare to take action? From the actions of Xi Jinping and the People's Liberation Army, we can see how far away from reality Su Qi's ideas are.
In fact, Su Qi also gave himself a step back at the time, saying that Taiwan "can't delay it for four or five years." Now that the deadline has passed, Su Qi not only made no apology for his past mistakes, but continued to spread doubts about beauty. Such a style makes people shake their heads.
Although Trump 2.0 is not as friendly to Taiwan as in the past and Biden, what matters is the interaction between Taiwan and the entire US government. In fact, the cooperation between Taiwan's military, the U.S. military and civilian arms industry manufacturers is not only less than what Su Qi expected, but is actually closer than in the past. Su Qi spreads doubts about the United States again and again without knowing how to reflect on himself. Taiwan once had a secretary-general of the National Security Council who was like a cheerleader for Xi Jinping. We should be lucky that Ma Ying-jeou has resigned long ago, otherwise the National Security Council would not know what Yiyuhu is. It is surprising to think that Taiwanese people pay taxes to support such high-ranking officials.
