
中国气象局发布数据显示,9月以来中国平均降水量较常年同期偏少17.1%,华西秋雨偏晚13天,海南等地遭受严重暴雨洪涝灾害。预计10月江南和西南地区东部等地降水较常年同期明显偏多。
AI-generated summary
中国气象局举行10月新闻发布会,通报近期天气气候特征及未来预测。
中新社北京9月29日电 (记者 陈溯)记者29日从中国气象局获悉,9月以来(截至9月27日),中国平均降水量较常年同期偏少17.1%。
当天,中国气象局举办10月新闻发布会,介绍近期天气气候特征。9月,中国降水量偏少,华西秋雨偏晚,南海低压影响华南地区。
9月以来,全国平均降水量50.2毫米,较常年同期偏少17.1%。华西秋雨于9月15日开始,较常年(9月2日)偏晚13天。9月11日至15日,受南海热带低压和冷空气共同影响,华南南部出现强降水过程,海南大部雨量100至250毫米,局地500至800毫米,五指山站过程降雨量达831.2毫米,9月14日该站降水量达615.3毫米,突破历史极大值(1989年10月13日,354.8毫米),遭受严重暴雨洪涝灾害;上述部分地区伴随发生强对流天气,其中海南万宁、琼海局地出现龙卷风。
国家气候中心主任巢清尘表示,截至目前,华西秋雨南区平均降雨量59.8毫米,较常年同期偏多20.4%,北区降雨量16.9毫米,较常年同期偏少58.2%。预计10月华西地区仍多阴雨天气,秋雨区降水整体呈现“南多北少”的特征。
展望后期,巢清尘表示,预计10月份,江南和西南地区东部等地降水较常年同期明显偏多,东北地区东部、新疆西部、西藏南部降水也偏多,建议防范强降水及连阴雨引发的洪涝、地质灾害及农田渍涝风险。
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
10月华西地区仍多阴雨天气,秋雨区降水整体呈现南多北少特征
Likely · Within months

Data released by the China Meteorological Administration shows that the number of typhoons generated in the northwest Pacific and South China Sea this year is significantly higher, and they have the characteristics of strong intensity, long life history, and long residence time on land. It is expected that 3 to 4 typhoons will still form in October, of which 1 to 2 may land or affect the coastal areas of South China.

The Central Meteorological Administration predicts that tomorrow (30th) the weather will be sunny and hot in various places, with the high temperature reaching 35 degrees. Affected by two waves of northeast monsoon relay starting from Thursday night, the weather in the northern part of the windward side and Yilan turned to rain, and the temperature dropped accordingly. In addition, the Meteorological Administration reminds the coast from New Taipei to Changhua and Penghu to pay attention to seawater intrusion caused by annual spring tides.

The Liaoning Provincial Meteorological Department has issued a weather forecast for the National Day holiday. The weather is expected to be "sunny with rain, fog, wind and frost" during the holiday. Generally, it will be sunny but the temperature will be low. There will be moderate rain and strong convection in the area on the 3rd, and there will be heavy fog at night on the 4th. Strong winds and frost will take turns. The public needs to pay more attention when traveling.

The China Meteorological Administration stated on the 29th that due to the influence of El Niño, the temperature in China is expected to be generally high in the winter of 2026/2027. The strongest super El Niño event in the history of monitoring records is expected to form in the equatorial central and eastern Pacific, which will have a significant impact on China's climate in autumn and winter and next spring and summer.

The Taitung monkey problem in Luye, Taitung, is becoming increasingly serious. Not only farmers are affected, but macaques are frequently found in tourist spots. County councilor Pan Guilan is worried that the monkey population will exceed the population; councilor Xu Jinrong is dissatisfied with the ineffective prevention and control results, and proposed "monkey school" demonstrations and other angry words in the council, highlighting the current situation of local wild macaque control difficulties and the gradual failure of monkey cages.

The Guangdong Provincial Meteorological Bureau reported that Guangdong entered the flood season on March 29, 2026, with average precipitation 14% higher than normal. Yangchun, Shanwei, and Xinhui broke local historical rainfall records for the same period. There will be thunderstorms in the early stage of the National Day holiday, and the temperature will drop by 3℃ to 5℃ due to the influence of cold air in the middle period.