9th Circuit Rules Sports Event Contracts Are Not CFTC-Regulated Swaps
Quick Look
The 9th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals rejected injunctive relief requests from Kalshi, Crypto.com, and Robinhood, ruling that sports-related event contracts are not swaps under CFTC jurisdiction and are instead subject to state gaming laws, a decision Nevada hailed as a victory and experts say likely heads to the Supreme Court due to a circuit split with the 3rd Circuit.
AI-generated summary
Why It Matters
Prediction market platforms like Kalshi and Crypto.com offer event contracts on sports and other topics, arguing they are financial derivatives regulated by the CFTC, while states like Nevada contend they constitute illegal sports betting under state gaming laws.
The 9th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals rejected prediction market platforms' requests for injunctive relief against the Nevada Gaming Control Board, concluding that sports-related event contracts are not a derivative regulated by the federal government.
The court rejected appeals by Kalshi and Crypto.com, two prediction market platforms, to stop Nevada from halting their operations which the state claims are gambling offerings outside of the gaming control board's framework. The court also ruled against Robinhood's request for injunctive relief. That firm also features event contracts on its trading platform.
Under scrutiny were the platforms' sports-related event contract offerings, which 44 states argue are nothing more than sports betting. However, the platforms — and their federal regulator, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission — claim all event contracts, no matter the topic, are swaps. Swaps are a type of derivative under the purview of the CFTC, and the agency asserts that it has the exclusive jurisdiction to regulate all event contracts.
The CFTC has even sued nine states to defend what it believes is its sole right to make rules for prediction markets.
But the 9th Circuit rejected that argument. "The sports event contracts were not 'swaps' because they were sports bets," the court said in its opinion against Kalshi.
The Nevada Attorney General's office said the ruling was a major victory.
"Kalshi sought to sidestep Nevada's gaming laws by claiming its sports wagering products were federally regulated financial instruments beyond the reach of state regulators," deputy communications director for the office Alcinia Whiters said in a statement. "The Ninth Circuit rejected that argument and made clear what we have maintained from the beginning: sports betting does not become something else simply because a company calls it an 'event contract' ... Our office is proud to have defended Nevada's authority."
In a statement to CNBC, a CFTC spokesperson said that the court understood that swaps are exclusively regulated by the commission, but said it was wrong to believe that sports-related event contracts don't fall under that definition.
"A derivative contract structured as a swap is a swap regardless of the underlying subject matter — the only exceptions in statute are onions and movie box office receipts," the spokesperson said in a statement. "The Ninth Circuit erred today when it invented a new and atextual exception to the CEA," referring to the Commodity Exchange Act, the law that details which event contracts the CFTC is allowed to permit and reject.
Legal experts have widely expected that the question of sports-related event contracts, and whether state gaming regulators or the CFTC has the right to regulate them, will eventually reach the Supreme Court.
That now appears very likely, as the ninth circuit's decision contradicts a ruling from the 3rd U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals in early April. In that case, the 3rd Circuit ruled that only the CFTC has the jurisdiction to regulate sports-related event contracts.
"This is a classic circuit split," said Joshua Mitts, a professor at Columbia Law School. Circuit splits are when federal appeals courts rule differently on the same topic. "Ultimately, this is the kind of legal controversy or legal difference of opinion which will make its way to the Supreme Court."
In a statement, Robinhood said it plans to appeal the decision. "Every eligible customer should have access to these markets, which are federally regulated by the CFTC and offered through our CFTC-registered Futures Commission Merchant," a spokesperson said.
Kalshi and Crypto.com did not immediately respond to requests for comment.
Meanwhile, shares of two online sportsbooks, DraftKings and Flutter Entertainment — the parent company of FanDuel — rose in response to the ruling. Both stocks have been hit in the last year over concerns of prediction markets disrupting the industry, and the companies have rushed to get their own prediction market exchanges online.
DraftKings jumped 7%, while Flutter was up more than 6%.
Disclosure: CNBC and Kalshi have a commercial relationship that includes customer acquisition and a minority investment.
What to Watch
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
The U.S. Supreme Court will likely review the circuit split over whether sports-related event contracts fall under CFTC jurisdiction or state gaming authority.
Likely · Within months
Robinhood will appeal the 9th Circuit's decision to continue offering event contracts on its platform.
Very likely · Within weeks
Open Questions
- Will the U.S. Supreme Court take up the conflict between the 3rd and 9th Circuit rulings?
- How will the ruling affect other states' approaches to regulating prediction markets?
- Will DraftKings and Flutter Entertainment accelerate their own prediction market launches in response to the ruling?



