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Back日本首相高市早苗支持的候选人胜出冲绳知事选举
日本首相高市早苗支持的候选人胜出冲绳知事选举
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自由时报39 minutes agoPolitics2 min readChina

日本首相高市早苗支持的候选人胜出冲绳知事选举

Quick Look

日本首相高市早苗支持的候选人古謝玄太在冲绳县知事选举中以59%得票率击败寻求连任的现任知事玉城丹尼,结束冲绳12年反对美军扩张的局面,其胜选可能推动日本军力扩张和美军设施军民两用,加剧日中紧张关系。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

冲绳自2012年起由反对美军大规模驻扎的知事执政,长期通过法律途径阻止普天间基地搬迁至辉野古。该地区位于第一岛链,靠近台湾,具有重要战略价值。日本近年来在西南岛屿加强军事部署,以应对中国在东亚的军事活动。

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外媒指出,日本首相高市早苗政府支持的候選人古謝玄太(Genta Koja)13日在沖繩縣知事選舉中勝出,擊敗此前不斷阻撓東京在這座鄰近台灣及中國、具重要戰略地位群島擴充軍力的對手。

路透報導,現年42歲的古謝玄太以59%得票率,擊敗尋求連任的66歲現任沖繩縣知事玉城丹尼(Denny Tamaki),選舉結果於14日凌晨公布。

報導稱,這場選戰主要圍繞物價上漲的疑慮展開,而古謝玄太勝選,也結束沖繩長達12年由主張減少美軍在當地大規模駐軍的知事執政的局面。

選舉結果可能終結沖繩透過法律途徑,試圖阻止美國海軍陸戰隊從普天間基地遷往沖繩本島邊野古新設施的行動。

琉球大學名譽教授、政治學者我部政明(Masaaki Gabe)指出,古謝玄太上台後,也可能使軍方更容易擴大使用當地機場及港口。

我部政明說:「可以合理預期,古謝玄太可能會批准將這些設施指定供軍方使用,使原本完全屬於民用的設施開放作軍事用途。」

古謝玄太勝選之際,高市早苗正準備於今年公布新的國家安全保障戰略,預料將加速推動日本自二戰以來最大規模的軍力擴張。高市政府表示,增加國防支出有其必要性,以嚇阻中國透過軍事力量推進其在東亞領土的企圖。

報導介紹,沖繩是「第一島鏈」的一部分。第一島鏈是從日本一路延伸至台灣、菲律賓的島嶼,限制中國進入西太平洋。

日本最西端的與那國島位於台灣東方約110公里處。北京正加強在這座民主治理島嶼周邊的軍事活動。高市早苗去年曾表示,若中國攻擊台灣且同時威脅日本,可能引發東京採取軍事回應。此舉導致日中之間的緊張關係進一步升高。

日本目前已在西南部多座島嶼部署飛彈及電子戰部隊,並正在該區域擴充彈藥儲存設施。

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 古謝玄太政府将批准将冲绳民用机场和港口指定用于军事使用

    Likely · Within months

  • 日本将在今年内公布新国家安全保障战略并加速军力扩张

    Very likely · Within months

Open Questions

  • 古謝玄太是否会批准将民用机场和港口用于军事目的?
  • 日本新国家安全保障战略将如何具体增加国防支出?
  • 中国将如何回应日本在第一岛链的军事扩张?
  • 美军是否会加快在冲绳的设施建设和部署?

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This article was originally published by 自由时报.

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