
舒力基颱風預報顯示將於台灣東方外海北轉,對台灣天氣無影響,反而因外圍下沉氣流使天氣更穩定,中秋連假無需擔心颱風干擾;但颱風將於下週日接近琉球,可能帶來風雨,對日本關東影響有限。
AI-generated summary
舒力基颱風目前位於台灣東南東方海面,正以西北西方向移動,預報顯示將於台灣東方外海北轉。
舒力基颱風北轉趨勢大致底定。(圖擷自吳聖宇臉書)
舒力基颱風最新預報顯示,將離台灣有一段距離的海面上提早北轉,對台天氣不會有影響,反而因為颱風外圍下沉氣流作用,天氣會更穩定一些。
根據中央氣象署觀測顯示,舒力基颱風今(24日)上午8時的中心位置在北緯18.1度、東經134.6度,即在鵝鑾鼻東南東方1490公里之處,以每小時22公里速度,向西北西進行;氣象署預估,舒力基後天(26日)左右在台灣東方外海開始北轉前往日本南方海域。
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天氣風險公司資深顧問吳聖宇在臉書表示,舒力基的預報已經呈現明確轉向,而且離台灣仍較遠,加上颱風範圍小,預期對陸地天氣無影響,中秋連假應該是不必擔心會有颱風來干擾天氣了,反而因為颱風外圍下沉氣流作用,天氣會更穩定一些。
不過舒力基颱風在下週日(27日)晚間到下週一(28日)中午之前會比較接近琉球本島,有機會帶來風雨,提醒要去琉球的朋友留意颱風帶來的影響。後續雖然會繼續往日本關東以南海域靠近,但是靠近時強度已經明顯減弱,並有逐漸轉化為溫帶氣旋的趨勢,預估對日本關東地區的影響較為有限。
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AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
舒力基颱風將於下週日(27日)晚間到下週一(28日)中午前接近琉球本島,可能帶來風雨。
Likely · Within days
舒力基颱風後續將靠近日本關東以南海域,但強度明顯減弱並轉化為溫帶氣旋,對日本關東地區影響有限。
Likely · Within days

The Central Meteorological Administration forecasts that there will be sporadic short-lived showers in the north, northeast and east from tonight to tomorrow. The path of mild typhoon "Shuliki" will become more and more northerly, and its impact on Taiwan will be greatly reduced. The chance of issuing a maritime typhoon warning is very small. From the second day of the holiday to the end of the holiday, the weather was good everywhere, with only sporadic brief rains in the mountainous areas in the afternoon.

Jia Xingxing, director of Taiwan Integrated Disaster Prevention Engineering Technology Consulting Company, said that during the Mid-Autumn Festival holiday, the weather in Taiwan will be clear and stable due to the influence of the Autumn Tiger, which is suitable for moon viewing. The latest forecast of Typhoon Shuliji shows that there is an increased chance of turning north towards Ryukyu from the 25th to the 26th, and may affect Okinawa from the 27th to the 29th. At the same time, tourists who go to Hokkaido to appreciate the maples are reminded to keep warm.

Typhoon Shuliji is expected to turn north early, arrive in Taiwan's southeastern waters over the weekend, then turn northeast and leave. It will have limited impact on Taiwan's land. However, during the Mid-Autumn Festival holiday, you need to pay attention to the long waves and astronomical tides outside the typhoon, and you still need to pay special attention to safety during beach activities.

The Central Weather Bureau predicts that the sky will mostly be clear or cloudy at night during Taiwan's Mid-Autumn Festival, with the moon visible. Only the mountainous areas in the northern part of Chiayi County may be affected. Although Tropical Storm Shuliki is expected to approach Taiwan over the weekend and bring localized showers, it will not affect the Mid-Autumn Festival moon viewing. Forecasts show that temperatures will rise in many places in Taiwan in the next few days, with large temperature differences between day and night in some areas.

Tropical Depression TD29 is expected to intensify into Typhoon Shuliji today and tomorrow. The current model predictions are divided into two directions: turning north early or continuing westward. If it moves westward and approaches Taiwan, it may have the greatest impact around next Tuesday (29th). Meteorological experts point out that the later development is full of uncertainty.

The Mid-Autumn Festival holiday is approaching. The Meteorological Administration has forecast that the weather will be stable from cloudy to sunny before the weekend, and there is a high chance of enjoying the moon on Mid-Autumn Festival night. Tropical depression TD29 is about 2,000 kilometers away from Taiwan. It is expected to strengthen into a light platform tomorrow and develop into a central Taiwan on Saturday. It may affect the sea surface in eastern Taiwan next Monday and Tuesday, bringing local showers to the north of Taoyuan and Yilan. Pay attention to the accumulation of water during long waves and spring tides.