
AI-generated summary
The blue-white cooperation in the Zhubei mayoral election broke down, triggering concerns that negative sentiment may spill over to the elections in New Taipei, Kaohsiung, Yilan and other places. Ke Wenzhe expressed his views on this issue when he went to Yilan to assist in the election.
The "Blue-White" election in the Zhubei mayoral election failed, and the outside world is concerned about whether the negative sentiment will have a spillover effect and affect the elections in New Taipei, Kaohsiung, Yilan and other places. When Ko Wenzhe, the founding chairman of the People's Party, went to Yilan for the auxiliary election today, he pointed out that the failure of Zhubei was a "black swan", but if no one dealt with it afterwards, it became a "grey rhinoceros". He even pointed the finger at the top leaders of the two parties and said bluntly, "The chairmen of the two parties always have to talk about how to deal with the aftermath. I don't blame anyone for what happened! But until now, I feel it is too strange that the aftermath has not been dealt with!"
Although the defeat of the Blue-White tie in Zhubei has caused concerns about cascading effects, Wu Zongxian, the Kuomintang candidate for Yilan county magistrate, is still actively holding on to his position, emphasizing that Yilan is a "blue-white combination demonstration area" and has perfect cooperation with Chen Wanhui, the local chairman of the People's Party. Huang Guochang, chairman of the People's Party, also recently stated that the Yilan County mayor's office "has no doubts and only supports Wu Zongxian", striving to minimize the fluctuations in the election.
However, in response to a question from the media today to Ke Wenzhe, "Will there be any spillover from the Zhubei Blue-White crisis? Are you worried about it spreading to Yilan?" Ke Wenzhe said that in management, there are black swans and gray rhinos. The black swan appears without even thinking about it. The gray rhinoceros means that everyone knows this is a crisis, but they don't deal with it. When the rhino rushes over, they don't know how to deal with it.
He emphasized that the so-called spillover effect means that something happens first and has an effect, and then the effect spreads outward. In his experience, the election effect in Zhubei has not yet begun. Why? We cannot start an election campaign by asking both sides not to smear or attack family members, use cyber armies, or buy TV ads. This is impossible.
Ke Wenzhe said that it is usually difficult to control an election. There used to be a joke that if you don’t know what bad things you have done in the past, you will know it after the election. He believes that the two sides have not intensified during the Zhubei election, and have not even started fighting. How much the benefits will be extended outwards. Frankly speaking, given the reality that we have had elections, we think this is still uncertain.
He said that the breakup of Zhubei Blue and White was a black swan, because we did not think of it in advance, but no one dealt with it after the breakup. This is a gray rhino. Therefore, he is still unable to predict the spillover benefits of Zhubei. He still doesn’t know how big the trouble will be. He thinks the spillover effects are too difficult to predict.
Ke Wenzhe said that he has said the same thing 7 or 8 times. The chairmen of the two parties always want to discuss how to deal with the aftermath. He does not blame anyone for what happened, but he feels it is too strange that the aftermath has not been dealt with until now.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
The chairmen of the two parties will negotiate on the aftermath of the Zhubei election
Possible · Within weeks

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