AfD reaches 30 percent in the Insa Sunday trend for the first time

In the current Insa Sunday trend commissioned by the “Bild” newspaper, the AfD achieved approval ratings of 30 percent for the first time. Compared to the previous week, the party has gained one percentage point.

At the same time, the Union falls back to 18 percent. The gap between the two parties increases to twelve percentage points. For the CDU and CSU, the result also marks a historic low. The Union was last at 30 percent at the beginning of March 2025.

The SPD remains stable at 14 percent and is only four points behind the Union. The Greens lose one point and also get 14 percent. The left remains at ten percent. The Alliance Sahra Wagenknecht (BSW) improved from three to four percent, the FDP remained at four percent. Both parties would continue to fail at the five percent hurdle.

Mathematically, forming a government from parties without the AfD is becoming increasingly difficult. Based on the survey, a continuation of black and red would only achieve a total of 32 percent. Even an alliance of the SPD, the Greens and the Left would only get 38 percent.

Since the FDP and BSW would currently fail at the five percent hurdle, a majority without the AfD would be conceivable primarily through a three-party coalition made up of the Union, SPD and Greens. Together these parties reach 46 percent. The AfD and the Union together would get 48 percent.

Here are the values at a glance:

AfD: 30 percent (+1)

CDU/CSU: 18 percent (−1)

SPD: 14 percent (+/-0)

Greens: 14 percent (−1)

Left: 10 percent (+/-0)

FDP: 4 percent (+/-0)

BSW: 4 percent (+1)

Other: 6 percent (+/-0)

The survey was carried out by the opinion research institute Insa on behalf of the “Bild” newspaper. For this purpose, 1,202 eligible voters were surveyed by telephone and online between September 28th and October 2nd.